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icon for Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place
Politics·Morocco

Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place

icon for Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place
Politics·Morocco

Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place

RNI 40%

PI 34%

PAM 12%

PJD 10.1%

Polymarket

$31,349 Vol.

RNI 40%

PI 34%

PAM 12%

PJD 10.1%

Polymarket

$31,349 Vol.

icon for RNI

RNI

$14,318 Vol.

40%

icon for PI

PI

$13,348 Vol.

34%

icon for PAM

PAM

$1,192 Vol.

9%

icon for PJD

PJD

$462 Vol.

10%

icon for UC

UC

$435 Vol.

1%

icon for MP

MP

$470 Vol.

<1%

icon for USFP

USFP

$767 Vol.

<1%

icon for PPS

PPS

$358 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remain highly competitive under the proportional system, sustaining trader expectations of another fragmented outcome.** The three parties in the incumbent RNI-PAM-Istiqlal (PI) coalition continue to dominate positioning, with RNI and PI holding the closest implied probabilities for third place amid shifting local dynamics. PAM has shown recent organizational momentum through high-profile recruitments and regional activity, while RNI relies on its established machinery and national networks despite leadership transitions and broader voter dissatisfaction with government performance on prices and services. Istiqlal draws on longstanding territorial strength but has seen its earlier frontrunner status for top spots erode. PJD and smaller parties trail with limited recovery prospects so far. Candidate list finalization, local constituency battles, turnout among undecided or disaffected voters, and the quality of nominees in key districts are the main variables that could separate the top contenders before official campaigning begins in mid-September.

Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$31,349
End Date
Sep 23, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**Morocco’s September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives remain highly competitive under the proportional system, sustaining trader expectations of another fragmented outcome.** The three parties in the incumbent RNI-PAM-Istiqlal (PI) coalition continue to dominate positioning, with RNI and PI holding the closest implied probabilities for third place amid shifting local dynamics. PAM has shown recent organizational momentum through high-profile recruitments and regional activity, while RNI relies on its established machinery and national networks despite leadership transitions and broader voter dissatisfaction with government performance on prices and services. Istiqlal draws on longstanding territorial strength but has seen its earlier frontrunner status for top spots erode. PJD and smaller parties trail with limited recovery prospects so far. Candidate list finalization, local constituency battles, turnout among undecided or disaffected voters, and the quality of nominees in key districts are the main variables that could separate the top contenders before official campaigning begins in mid-September.

Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$31,349
End Date
Sep 23, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "RNI" at 40%, followed by "PI" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place" has generated $31.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place" is "RNI" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "PI" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.