Skip to main content
icon for Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner
Politics·Morocco

Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner

icon for Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner
Politics·Morocco

Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner

PAM 40%

RNI 38.4%

PI 20.0%

PPS 1.1%

Polymarket

$37,432 Vol.

PAM 40%

RNI 38.4%

PI 20.0%

PPS 1.1%

Polymarket

$37,432 Vol.

icon for PAM

PAM

$8,093 Vol.

40%

icon for RNI

RNI

$17,727 Vol.

38%

icon for PI

PI

$7,601 Vol.

20%

icon for PPS

PPS

$745 Vol.

1%

icon for MP

MP

$883 Vol.

1%

icon for USFP

USFP

$798 Vol.

<1%

icon for PJD

PJD

$764 Vol.

<1%

icon for UC

UC

$819 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The September 23, 2026, legislative elections for Morocco’s 395-seat House of Representatives remain weeks from the official campaign launch, leaving trader consensus evenly split across numerous parties at 50 percent odds while assigning PAM 40 percent and RNI 38.3 percent. Preparations including voter-list finalization, proxy-voting registration for expatriates, and distribution of polling notices have intensified organizational activity but have not yet produced clear polling leads or major defections capable of shifting momentum. The proportional-representation system, absence of an electoral threshold, and historical pattern of coalition governments continue to support a fragmented outcome in which the top three 2021 parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal—compete closely for the largest seat share that determines the next prime minister. Recent internal party adjustments, such as RNI leadership transition and targeted recruitments by PAM, have maintained competitive positioning without creating decisive separation.

Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$37,432
End Date
Sep 23, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The September 23, 2026, legislative elections for Morocco’s 395-seat House of Representatives remain weeks from the official campaign launch, leaving trader consensus evenly split across numerous parties at 50 percent odds while assigning PAM 40 percent and RNI 38.3 percent. Preparations including voter-list finalization, proxy-voting registration for expatriates, and distribution of polling notices have intensified organizational activity but have not yet produced clear polling leads or major defections capable of shifting momentum. The proportional-representation system, absence of an electoral threshold, and historical pattern of coalition governments continue to support a fragmented outcome in which the top three 2021 parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal—compete closely for the largest seat share that determines the next prime minister. Recent internal party adjustments, such as RNI leadership transition and targeted recruitments by PAM, have maintained competitive positioning without creating decisive separation.

Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$37,432
End Date
Sep 23, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Related

icon for Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?

Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?

39%
icon for Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?

Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?

44%
icon for Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

2%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "PAM" at 40%, followed by "RNI" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner" has generated $37.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner" is "PAM" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "RNI" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.