Recent polling from government-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM, alongside independent surveys, shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead while LDPR, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation cluster closely behind, with LDPR and New People frequently trading positions in the low double digits. The disqualification of Yabloko’s party list in mid-August has narrowed options for certain voter segments, potentially channeling support toward New People’s economic messaging or LDPR’s nationalist mobilization. With the September 18–20 vote weeks away, trader consensus reflects the narrow margins in head-to-head positioning among these systemic parties, where differences in regional turnout, electronic voting patterns, and last-minute campaign intensity could determine final order. Structural factors including the 5% threshold and multi-day voting procedures add further uncertainty to the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 42%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 16%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 6.1%
$63,002 Vol.
$63,002 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
United Russia (ER)
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
16%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
6%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
42%
New People (NL)
34%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
2%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 42%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 16%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 6.1%
$63,002 Vol.
$63,002 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$3,690 Vol.
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$9,362 Vol.
16%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4,101 Vol.
6%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$18,909 Vol.
42%
New People (NL)
$11,013 Vol.
34%
Rodina
$3,479 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$10,629 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from government-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM, alongside independent surveys, shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead while LDPR, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation cluster closely behind, with LDPR and New People frequently trading positions in the low double digits. The disqualification of Yabloko’s party list in mid-August has narrowed options for certain voter segments, potentially channeling support toward New People’s economic messaging or LDPR’s nationalist mobilization. With the September 18–20 vote weeks away, trader consensus reflects the narrow margins in head-to-head positioning among these systemic parties, where differences in regional turnout, electronic voting patterns, and last-minute campaign intensity could determine final order. Structural factors including the 5% threshold and multi-day voting procedures add further uncertainty to the outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$63,002End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from government-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM, alongside independent surveys, shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead while LDPR, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation cluster closely behind, with LDPR and New People frequently trading positions in the low double digits. The disqualification of Yabloko’s party list in mid-August has narrowed options for certain voter segments, potentially channeling support toward New People’s economic messaging or LDPR’s nationalist mobilization. With the September 18–20 vote weeks away, trader consensus reflects the narrow margins in head-to-head positioning among these systemic parties, where differences in regional turnout, electronic voting patterns, and last-minute campaign intensity could determine final order. Structural factors including the 5% threshold and multi-day voting procedures add further uncertainty to the outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$63,002End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from government-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM, alongside independent surveys, shows United Russia maintaining a wide lead while LDPR, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation cluster closely behind, with LDPR and New People frequently trading positions in the low double digits. The disqualification of Yabloko’s party list in mid-August has narrowed options for certain voter segments, potentially channeling support toward New People’s economic messaging or LDPR’s nationalist mobilization. With the September 18–20 vote weeks away, trader consensus reflects the narrow margins in head-to-head positioning among these systemic parties, where differences in regional turnout, electronic voting patterns, and last-minute campaign intensity could determine final order. Structural factors including the 5% threshold and multi-day voting procedures add further uncertainty to the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
86%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
98%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
74%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions