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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

The Odyssey 56%

Dune: Part Three 15%

La Bola Negra 11%

Wild Horse Nine 8%

Polymarket

$124,889 Vol.

The Odyssey 56%

Dune: Part Three 15%

La Bola Negra 11%

Wild Horse Nine 8%

Polymarket

$124,889 Vol.

The Odyssey

$91,474 Vol.

56%

Dune: Part Three

$12,670 Vol.

15%

La Bola Negra

$254 Vol.

11%

Wild Horse Nine

$4,236 Vol.

8%

Fjord

$2,994 Vol.

6%

Digger

$4,264 Vol.

6%

Project Hail Mary

$1,926 Vol.

5%

Behemoth!

$2,260 Vol.

2%

Disclosure Day

$240 Vol.

2%

Avengers: Doomsday

$245 Vol.

2%

Tony

$2,226 Vol.

1%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$213 Vol.

1%

Josephine

$290 Vol.

1%

Michael

$224 Vol.

1%

All of a Sudden

$194 Vol.

1%

Saturn Return

$179 Vol.

<1%

The Social Reckoning

$188 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa

$159 Vol.

<1%

Fatherland

$175 Vol.

<1%

The Drama

$164 Vol.

<1%

The Debut

$131 Vol.

<1%

The Invite

$187 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads the 2027 Best Picture market at 55.5% implied probability following its July 2026 release, where Christopher Nolan’s epic adaptation earned strong critical consensus and robust box office returns exceeding $1.4 billion globally. Early guild and critics’ attention, combined with its technical scale and ensemble cast, has solidified trader consensus around the Universal title ahead of the campaign. The broad field of other contenders clustered near 50% reflects the early stage of the race, with later releases such as Dune: Part Three and titles like Wild Horse Nine, Digger, La Bola Negra, and Project Hail Mary still building momentum through festivals, reviews, and precursor awards. Historical patterns show summer blockbusters rarely lock in victories without sustained fall awards-season support.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,889
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads the 2027 Best Picture market at 55.5% implied probability following its July 2026 release, where Christopher Nolan’s epic adaptation earned strong critical consensus and robust box office returns exceeding $1.4 billion globally. Early guild and critics’ attention, combined with its technical scale and ensemble cast, has solidified trader consensus around the Universal title ahead of the campaign. The broad field of other contenders clustered near 50% reflects the early stage of the race, with later releases such as Dune: Part Three and titles like Wild Horse Nine, Digger, La Bola Negra, and Project Hail Mary still building momentum through festivals, reviews, and precursor awards. Historical patterns show summer blockbusters rarely lock in victories without sustained fall awards-season support.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,889
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Odyssey" at 56%, followed by "Dune: Part Three" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" has generated $124.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" is "The Odyssey" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dune: Part Three" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.