Pennsylvania’s 3rd Congressional District, anchored in heavily Democratic sections of Philadelphia, features a partisan voting index exceeding D+40 and has delivered lopsided Democratic margins in recent cycles. Retiring incumbent Dwight Evans created an open seat, but Christopher Rabb secured the Democratic nomination after winning the May 2026 primary, while no Republican candidate advanced and only a minor independent appears on the November 3, 2026 general-election ballot. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s registration edge, turnout patterns, and absence of credible opposition. Trader consensus at 97.3% Democratic reflects these structural barriers. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen surge by a write-in or third-party effort could theoretically narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain rare in districts of this composition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$32,571 Vol.
$32,571 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$32,571 Vol.
$32,571 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,654 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$12,917 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania’s 3rd Congressional District, anchored in heavily Democratic sections of Philadelphia, features a partisan voting index exceeding D+40 and has delivered lopsided Democratic margins in recent cycles. Retiring incumbent Dwight Evans created an open seat, but Christopher Rabb secured the Democratic nomination after winning the May 2026 primary, while no Republican candidate advanced and only a minor independent appears on the November 3, 2026 general-election ballot. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s registration edge, turnout patterns, and absence of credible opposition. Trader consensus at 97.3% Democratic reflects these structural barriers. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen surge by a write-in or third-party effort could theoretically narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain rare in districts of this composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,571End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania’s 3rd Congressional District, anchored in heavily Democratic sections of Philadelphia, features a partisan voting index exceeding D+40 and has delivered lopsided Democratic margins in recent cycles. Retiring incumbent Dwight Evans created an open seat, but Christopher Rabb secured the Democratic nomination after winning the May 2026 primary, while no Republican candidate advanced and only a minor independent appears on the November 3, 2026 general-election ballot. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s registration edge, turnout patterns, and absence of credible opposition. Trader consensus at 97.3% Democratic reflects these structural barriers. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen surge by a write-in or third-party effort could theoretically narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain rare in districts of this composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,571End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania’s 3rd Congressional District, anchored in heavily Democratic sections of Philadelphia, features a partisan voting index exceeding D+40 and has delivered lopsided Democratic margins in recent cycles. Retiring incumbent Dwight Evans created an open seat, but Christopher Rabb secured the Democratic nomination after winning the May 2026 primary, while no Republican candidate advanced and only a minor independent appears on the November 3, 2026 general-election ballot. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s registration edge, turnout patterns, and absence of credible opposition. Trader consensus at 97.3% Democratic reflects these structural barriers. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen surge by a write-in or third-party effort could theoretically narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain rare in districts of this composition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions