Recent polls from late August 2026 place the AfD between 40% and 42% in Sachsen-Anhalt, consistent with surveys throughout the summer that show the party roughly doubling its 2021 result. The narrow spread between the 39-42% and 42-45% market bands reflects this clustering, combined with standard polling margins of error, roughly 30% of voters still undecided or open to switching preferences, and modest week-to-week movements among smaller parties near the 5% threshold. The September 6 election date leaves limited time for further shifts, though final turnout patterns, late campaign events, or differential mobilization among core voter groups could push results toward either side of the current range.