Google's Gemini models hold a durable second-place position on the Text Arena Math leaderboard behind Anthropic's leading Claude series, with recent snapshots showing Gemini variants like gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.5-flash-high consistently ranking in the top five for math-specific reasoning tasks. This positioning reflects sustained strength in competition-style problems and chain-of-thought performance, reinforced by multiple high-volume model iterations through mid-2026 without meaningful displacement from OpenAI, Meta, or other labs in the final days before resolution. With only three days remaining until end-of-August evaluation, the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on leaderboard stability rather than any new releases. A late surprise model drop from a trailing lab or unexpected scoring shift could theoretically alter the ranking, though historical patterns indicate such changes rarely materialize this close to cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGoogle 98.4%
Anthropic <1%
DeepSeek <1%
OpenAI <1%
$85,752 Vol.
$85,752 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
98%
Anthropic
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 98.4%
Anthropic <1%
DeepSeek <1%
OpenAI <1%
$85,752 Vol.
$85,752 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
$33,522 Vol.
98%
Anthropic
$9,636 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$2,842 Vol.
<1%
OpenAI
$3,488 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$3,259 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$16,157 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$2,361 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,119 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$1,497 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$2,359 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,004 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$2,266 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$500 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$709 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$556 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$554 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$577 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$667 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models hold a durable second-place position on the Text Arena Math leaderboard behind Anthropic's leading Claude series, with recent snapshots showing Gemini variants like gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.5-flash-high consistently ranking in the top five for math-specific reasoning tasks. This positioning reflects sustained strength in competition-style problems and chain-of-thought performance, reinforced by multiple high-volume model iterations through mid-2026 without meaningful displacement from OpenAI, Meta, or other labs in the final days before resolution. With only three days remaining until end-of-August evaluation, the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on leaderboard stability rather than any new releases. A late surprise model drop from a trailing lab or unexpected scoring shift could theoretically alter the ranking, though historical patterns indicate such changes rarely materialize this close to cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volume
$85,752End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models hold a durable second-place position on the Text Arena Math leaderboard behind Anthropic's leading Claude series, with recent snapshots showing Gemini variants like gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.5-flash-high consistently ranking in the top five for math-specific reasoning tasks. This positioning reflects sustained strength in competition-style problems and chain-of-thought performance, reinforced by multiple high-volume model iterations through mid-2026 without meaningful displacement from OpenAI, Meta, or other labs in the final days before resolution. With only three days remaining until end-of-August evaluation, the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on leaderboard stability rather than any new releases. A late surprise model drop from a trailing lab or unexpected scoring shift could theoretically alter the ranking, though historical patterns indicate such changes rarely materialize this close to cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$85,752End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini models hold a durable second-place position on the Text Arena Math leaderboard behind Anthropic's leading Claude series, with recent snapshots showing Gemini variants like gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.5-flash-high consistently ranking in the top five for math-specific reasoning tasks. This positioning reflects sustained strength in competition-style problems and chain-of-thought performance, reinforced by multiple high-volume model iterations through mid-2026 without meaningful displacement from OpenAI, Meta, or other labs in the final days before resolution. With only three days remaining until end-of-August evaluation, the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on leaderboard stability rather than any new releases. A late surprise model drop from a trailing lab or unexpected scoring shift could theoretically alter the ranking, though historical patterns indicate such changes rarely materialize this close to cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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