**Strong fourth-weekend performance of $39 million and a 2.41x multiplier through week four position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a fifth-weekend gross centered in the low-to-mid $20 millions.** Traders see the film’s consistent #1 ranking and slowing drop rates (-60% to -45%) as evidence of durable audience interest fueled by its A CinemaScore, 98% audience score, and record-breaking early legs. However, typical late-summer superhero hold patterns, plus new competition entering the marketplace, introduce downside risk that caps upside above $24 million. The tight 41.5%/39.5% split between the 20-22M and 22-24M brackets reflects uncertainty around the exact drop magnitude heading into Labor Day weekend, with real-money consensus treating the outcome as a narrow range rather than a decisive favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
20-22m 41%
22-24m 40%
<20m 16%
24-26m 8%
$18,197 Vol.
$18,197 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<20m
16%
20-22m
41%
22-24m
40%
24-26m
8%
26m+
2%
20-22m 41%
22-24m 40%
<20m 16%
24-26m 8%
$18,197 Vol.
$18,197 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<20m
$3,651 Vol.
16%
20-22m
$4,284 Vol.
41%
22-24m
$4,799 Vol.
40%
24-26m
$2,883 Vol.
8%
26m+
$2,579 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong fourth-weekend performance of $39 million and a 2.41x multiplier through week four position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a fifth-weekend gross centered in the low-to-mid $20 millions.** Traders see the film’s consistent #1 ranking and slowing drop rates (-60% to -45%) as evidence of durable audience interest fueled by its A CinemaScore, 98% audience score, and record-breaking early legs. However, typical late-summer superhero hold patterns, plus new competition entering the marketplace, introduce downside risk that caps upside above $24 million. The tight 41.5%/39.5% split between the 20-22M and 22-24M brackets reflects uncertainty around the exact drop magnitude heading into Labor Day weekend, with real-money consensus treating the outcome as a narrow range rather than a decisive favorite.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volume
$18,197End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong fourth-weekend performance of $39 million and a 2.41x multiplier through week four position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a fifth-weekend gross centered in the low-to-mid $20 millions.** Traders see the film’s consistent #1 ranking and slowing drop rates (-60% to -45%) as evidence of durable audience interest fueled by its A CinemaScore, 98% audience score, and record-breaking early legs. However, typical late-summer superhero hold patterns, plus new competition entering the marketplace, introduce downside risk that caps upside above $24 million. The tight 41.5%/39.5% split between the 20-22M and 22-24M brackets reflects uncertainty around the exact drop magnitude heading into Labor Day weekend, with real-money consensus treating the outcome as a narrow range rather than a decisive favorite.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$18,197End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong fourth-weekend performance of $39 million and a 2.41x multiplier through week four position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a fifth-weekend gross centered in the low-to-mid $20 millions.** Traders see the film’s consistent #1 ranking and slowing drop rates (-60% to -45%) as evidence of durable audience interest fueled by its A CinemaScore, 98% audience score, and record-breaking early legs. However, typical late-summer superhero hold patterns, plus new competition entering the marketplace, introduce downside risk that caps upside above $24 million. The tight 41.5%/39.5% split between the 20-22M and 22-24M brackets reflects uncertainty around the exact drop magnitude heading into Labor Day weekend, with real-money consensus treating the outcome as a narrow range rather than a decisive favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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