Recent polls place Sweden Democrats (SD) support near 19 percent, with Indikator Opinion’s late-August survey at 19.7 percent, Novus at 19.1 percent, and weighted averages around 19.3 percent. This positioning keeps the 18–20 percent and 20 percent-plus brackets as the leading trader outcomes. The Tidö bloc has narrowed its deficit to the opposition from roughly 9 points in June to about 4.7 points, driven by modest gains for Moderates and SD amid campaign focus on immigration, crime, security, and cost-of-living issues. With the September 13 election less than three weeks away, late shifts in turnout or undecided voters remain the primary variables that could push SD above or below the 20 percent threshold reflected in current market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
20%+ 47%
18-20% 34%
16-18% 16%
<16% 6%
$10,358 Vol.
$10,358 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<16%
6%
16-18%
16%
18-20%
34%
20%+
47%
20%+ 47%
18-20% 34%
16-18% 16%
<16% 6%
$10,358 Vol.
$10,358 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<16%
$1,443 Vol.
6%
16-18%
$1,483 Vol.
16%
18-20%
$2,903 Vol.
34%
20%+
$4,530 Vol.
47%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Sweden Democrats (SD) support near 19 percent, with Indikator Opinion’s late-August survey at 19.7 percent, Novus at 19.1 percent, and weighted averages around 19.3 percent. This positioning keeps the 18–20 percent and 20 percent-plus brackets as the leading trader outcomes. The Tidö bloc has narrowed its deficit to the opposition from roughly 9 points in June to about 4.7 points, driven by modest gains for Moderates and SD amid campaign focus on immigration, crime, security, and cost-of-living issues. With the September 13 election less than three weeks away, late shifts in turnout or undecided voters remain the primary variables that could push SD above or below the 20 percent threshold reflected in current market pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Volume
$10,358End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Sweden Democrats (SD) support near 19 percent, with Indikator Opinion’s late-August survey at 19.7 percent, Novus at 19.1 percent, and weighted averages around 19.3 percent. This positioning keeps the 18–20 percent and 20 percent-plus brackets as the leading trader outcomes. The Tidö bloc has narrowed its deficit to the opposition from roughly 9 points in June to about 4.7 points, driven by modest gains for Moderates and SD amid campaign focus on immigration, crime, security, and cost-of-living issues. With the September 13 election less than three weeks away, late shifts in turnout or undecided voters remain the primary variables that could push SD above or below the 20 percent threshold reflected in current market pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$10,358End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Sweden Democrats (SD) support near 19 percent, with Indikator Opinion’s late-August survey at 19.7 percent, Novus at 19.1 percent, and weighted averages around 19.3 percent. This positioning keeps the 18–20 percent and 20 percent-plus brackets as the leading trader outcomes. The Tidö bloc has narrowed its deficit to the opposition from roughly 9 points in June to about 4.7 points, driven by modest gains for Moderates and SD amid campaign focus on immigration, crime, security, and cost-of-living issues. With the September 13 election less than three weeks away, late shifts in turnout or undecided voters remain the primary variables that could push SD above or below the 20 percent threshold reflected in current market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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