Tshisekedi’s position as president remains secure through the end of 2026, with his second five-year term scheduled to conclude only in December 2028. His ruling coalition controls parliament, which advanced a referendum bill in June and July 2026 enabling potential constitutional changes that could reset term limits. Recent protests by the opposition C64 coalition against these moves were dispersed by security forces in mid-September, while Tshisekedi has initiated a national dialogue process limited to three months and excluding armed groups. The eastern conflict with M23 rebels continues but has not produced any institutional challenges capable of forcing an early exit. These factors underpin trader consensus that no constitutional, electoral, or political mechanism will remove him before the year-end deadline.