The closely matched trader consensus around 50-56% turnout for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections stems from expectations of participation near the 2021 level of roughly 52%, tempered by the Kremlin's lowered internal targets amid economic pressures including fuel shortages and strikes. Polling shows elevated undecided and abstention rates, while the low-key campaign features minimal state media coverage, fewer nominated parties and candidates than in prior cycles, and expanded multi-day and electronic voting across dozens of regions. Official mobilization of administrative resources and war veterans as candidates provide upward pressure, yet public fatigue and security concerns introduce downside risks that keep the leading bands tightly contested.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 32%
53-56% 29.4%
59-62% 10.7%
62%+ 10.3%
$53,833 Vol.
$53,833 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
2%
47-50%
10%
50-53%
32%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
50-53% 32%
53-56% 29.4%
59-62% 10.7%
62%+ 10.3%
$53,833 Vol.
$53,833 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
$2,385 Vol.
2%
47-50%
$6,437 Vol.
10%
50-53%
$5,437 Vol.
32%
53-56%
$3,387 Vol.
29%
56-59%
$6,286 Vol.
9%
59-62%
$5,236 Vol.
11%
62%+
$24,666 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The closely matched trader consensus around 50-56% turnout for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections stems from expectations of participation near the 2021 level of roughly 52%, tempered by the Kremlin's lowered internal targets amid economic pressures including fuel shortages and strikes. Polling shows elevated undecided and abstention rates, while the low-key campaign features minimal state media coverage, fewer nominated parties and candidates than in prior cycles, and expanded multi-day and electronic voting across dozens of regions. Official mobilization of administrative resources and war veterans as candidates provide upward pressure, yet public fatigue and security concerns introduce downside risks that keep the leading bands tightly contested.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$53,833End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.The closely matched trader consensus around 50-56% turnout for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections stems from expectations of participation near the 2021 level of roughly 52%, tempered by the Kremlin's lowered internal targets amid economic pressures including fuel shortages and strikes. Polling shows elevated undecided and abstention rates, while the low-key campaign features minimal state media coverage, fewer nominated parties and candidates than in prior cycles, and expanded multi-day and electronic voting across dozens of regions. Official mobilization of administrative resources and war veterans as candidates provide upward pressure, yet public fatigue and security concerns introduce downside risks that keep the leading bands tightly contested.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$53,833End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader consensus around 50-56% turnout for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections stems from expectations of participation near the 2021 level of roughly 52%, tempered by the Kremlin's lowered internal targets amid economic pressures including fuel shortages and strikes. Polling shows elevated undecided and abstention rates, while the low-key campaign features minimal state media coverage, fewer nominated parties and candidates than in prior cycles, and expanded multi-day and electronic voting across dozens of regions. Official mobilization of administrative resources and war veterans as candidates provide upward pressure, yet public fatigue and security concerns introduce downside risks that keep the leading bands tightly contested.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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