Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene’s entrenched position in Washington’s 1st Congressional District underpins the market’s 94.5% Democratic consensus. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and comparable forecasters. DelBene advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 54.5% of the vote against Republican Mary Silva’s 27.2%, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Silva’s campaign has shown negligible fundraising and organizational resources compared with DelBene’s multimillion-dollar haul. No developments in the past thirty days have altered the competitive landscape. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national environment or unforeseen personal or legal disruption to the incumbent, outcomes traders currently assign low probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-01 House Election Winner
WA-01 House Election Winner
$44,798 Vol.
$44,798 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$44,798 Vol.
$44,798 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,761 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$21,037 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene’s entrenched position in Washington’s 1st Congressional District underpins the market’s 94.5% Democratic consensus. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and comparable forecasters. DelBene advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 54.5% of the vote against Republican Mary Silva’s 27.2%, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Silva’s campaign has shown negligible fundraising and organizational resources compared with DelBene’s multimillion-dollar haul. No developments in the past thirty days have altered the competitive landscape. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national environment or unforeseen personal or legal disruption to the incumbent, outcomes traders currently assign low probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$44,798End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene’s entrenched position in Washington’s 1st Congressional District underpins the market’s 94.5% Democratic consensus. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and comparable forecasters. DelBene advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 54.5% of the vote against Republican Mary Silva’s 27.2%, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Silva’s campaign has shown negligible fundraising and organizational resources compared with DelBene’s multimillion-dollar haul. No developments in the past thirty days have altered the competitive landscape. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national environment or unforeseen personal or legal disruption to the incumbent, outcomes traders currently assign low probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,798End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene’s entrenched position in Washington’s 1st Congressional District underpins the market’s 94.5% Democratic consensus. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and comparable forecasters. DelBene advanced comfortably through the August 4 top-two primary with 54.5% of the vote against Republican Mary Silva’s 27.2%, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Silva’s campaign has shown negligible fundraising and organizational resources compared with DelBene’s multimillion-dollar haul. No developments in the past thirty days have altered the competitive landscape. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national environment or unforeseen personal or legal disruption to the incumbent, outcomes traders currently assign low probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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