Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen, who has represented Washington’s 2nd Congressional District since 2001, advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with 44.9% to face Republican Edwin Feller in the November 3 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Larsen’s 2024 reelection margin and Kamala Harris’s 2024 presidential performance there, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Larsen’s substantial fundraising advantage and established constituent relationships further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general. While a late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, the race carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters with no competitive polling shifts reported since the primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$17,895 Vol.
$17,895 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,895 Vol.
$17,895 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,575 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,321 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen, who has represented Washington’s 2nd Congressional District since 2001, advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with 44.9% to face Republican Edwin Feller in the November 3 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Larsen’s 2024 reelection margin and Kamala Harris’s 2024 presidential performance there, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Larsen’s substantial fundraising advantage and established constituent relationships further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general. While a late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, the race carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters with no competitive polling shifts reported since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$17,895End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen, who has represented Washington’s 2nd Congressional District since 2001, advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with 44.9% to face Republican Edwin Feller in the November 3 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Larsen’s 2024 reelection margin and Kamala Harris’s 2024 presidential performance there, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Larsen’s substantial fundraising advantage and established constituent relationships further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general. While a late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, the race carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters with no competitive polling shifts reported since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,895End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen, who has represented Washington’s 2nd Congressional District since 2001, advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with 44.9% to face Republican Edwin Feller in the November 3 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Larsen’s 2024 reelection margin and Kamala Harris’s 2024 presidential performance there, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Larsen’s substantial fundraising advantage and established constituent relationships further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general. While a late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, the race carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters with no competitive polling shifts reported since the primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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