Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke leads Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden in the WI-03 general election rematch, with trader consensus reflecting consistent polling margins of roughly 4 points and strong Democratic fundraising. The district’s R+3 partisan lean and toss-up ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report underscore its competitiveness, though recent surveys show Van Orden underwater in favorability while Cooke benefits from national midterm tailwinds favoring the opposition party. Primaries on August 11 clarified the matchup after Cooke defeated Emily Berge, positioning both candidates for a high-spending campaign focused on affordability and turnout in western Wisconsin battleground counties. Resolution depends on the November 3 vote count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
77%
Republican Party
21%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,579 Vol.
77%
Republican Party
$1,900 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke leads Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden in the WI-03 general election rematch, with trader consensus reflecting consistent polling margins of roughly 4 points and strong Democratic fundraising. The district’s R+3 partisan lean and toss-up ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report underscore its competitiveness, though recent surveys show Van Orden underwater in favorability while Cooke benefits from national midterm tailwinds favoring the opposition party. Primaries on August 11 clarified the matchup after Cooke defeated Emily Berge, positioning both candidates for a high-spending campaign focused on affordability and turnout in western Wisconsin battleground counties. Resolution depends on the November 3 vote count.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$5,479End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke leads Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden in the WI-03 general election rematch, with trader consensus reflecting consistent polling margins of roughly 4 points and strong Democratic fundraising. The district’s R+3 partisan lean and toss-up ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report underscore its competitiveness, though recent surveys show Van Orden underwater in favorability while Cooke benefits from national midterm tailwinds favoring the opposition party. Primaries on August 11 clarified the matchup after Cooke defeated Emily Berge, positioning both candidates for a high-spending campaign focused on affordability and turnout in western Wisconsin battleground counties. Resolution depends on the November 3 vote count.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,479End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic candidate Rebecca Cooke leads Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden in the WI-03 general election rematch, with trader consensus reflecting consistent polling margins of roughly 4 points and strong Democratic fundraising. The district’s R+3 partisan lean and toss-up ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report underscore its competitiveness, though recent surveys show Van Orden underwater in favorability while Cooke benefits from national midterm tailwinds favoring the opposition party. Primaries on August 11 clarified the matchup after Cooke defeated Emily Berge, positioning both candidates for a high-spending campaign focused on affordability and turnout in western Wisconsin battleground counties. Resolution depends on the November 3 vote count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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