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icon for Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?

Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?

icon for Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?

Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?

36% chance
Polymarket
NEW
36% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify. Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify. The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Local governments across more than 20 states have canceled, suspended, or deactivated Flock Safety automated license plate reader contracts in 2026 amid privacy, data-sharing, and misuse concerns, but no state has enacted a statewide ban or pause on police use.** Over 50–90 municipalities have taken such steps this year alone, with recent examples including Tempe and other Arizona cities, multiple Texas communities like Pflugerville, the LAPD allowing its contract to lapse after an inspector general audit, and actions in California, Wisconsin, Washington, and Rhode Island. These decisions often cite unauthorized federal access (including immigration enforcement queries), officer misuse, false positives, and retention policies. State-level responses have focused on targeted regulations rather than outright prohibitions. Examples include Colorado’s warrant requirement for federal data sharing, Washington’s Driver Privacy Act limiting use and retention, Kentucky’s retention caps, and Maine’s ALPR rules. West Virginia lawmakers have proposed broader restrictions via the Fourth Amendment Restoration Act, but such measures have not advanced to passage. Flock has expanded its network to over 100,000 cameras while adjusting safeguards like shorter recommended retention periods, and new local contracts continue to outpace cancellations in volume. With only four months remaining before the December 31 resolution date, the absence of active statewide legislative campaigns poised for quick enactment supports trader consensus favoring “No.” Resolution would require at least one state to formally ban or pause police deployment or access by year-end, a threshold current developments have not approached despite the localized backlash.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify.

Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify.

The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.

A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,544
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify. Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify. The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify. Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify. The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Local governments across more than 20 states have canceled, suspended, or deactivated Flock Safety automated license plate reader contracts in 2026 amid privacy, data-sharing, and misuse concerns, but no state has enacted a statewide ban or pause on police use.** Over 50–90 municipalities have taken such steps this year alone, with recent examples including Tempe and other Arizona cities, multiple Texas communities like Pflugerville, the LAPD allowing its contract to lapse after an inspector general audit, and actions in California, Wisconsin, Washington, and Rhode Island. These decisions often cite unauthorized federal access (including immigration enforcement queries), officer misuse, false positives, and retention policies. State-level responses have focused on targeted regulations rather than outright prohibitions. Examples include Colorado’s warrant requirement for federal data sharing, Washington’s Driver Privacy Act limiting use and retention, Kentucky’s retention caps, and Maine’s ALPR rules. West Virginia lawmakers have proposed broader restrictions via the Fourth Amendment Restoration Act, but such measures have not advanced to passage. Flock has expanded its network to over 100,000 cameras while adjusting safeguards like shorter recommended retention periods, and new local contracts continue to outpace cancellations in volume. With only four months remaining before the December 31 resolution date, the absence of active statewide legislative campaigns poised for quick enactment supports trader consensus favoring “No.” Resolution would require at least one state to formally ban or pause police deployment or access by year-end, a threshold current developments have not approached despite the localized backlash.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify.

Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify.

The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.

A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,544
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify. Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify. The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 36% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 36¢, the market collectively assigns a 36% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?" is 36% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 36% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.