**Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled as of late August 2026, with the White House stating that no active diplomatic channel exists and shifting emphasis to economic pressure on Tehran.** A June 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day (extendable) window to reach a final agreement covering Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, with explicit provision for endorsement by a binding UN Security Council resolution. Technical talks and mediator efforts involving Qatar and Pakistan produced limited progress before breaking down amid mutual accusations of violations, renewed strikes, and revocation of interim sanctions waivers. Iran has conditioned further engagement on U.S. fulfillment of prior commitments, while U.S. officials have described current Iranian positions as insufficient. These developments have left the comprehensive deal—and any subsequent UNSC action—unresolved with only four months remaining until the December 31 deadline, producing trader consensus that the required resolution is unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
15% chance
$208,948 Vol.
$208,948 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
15% chance
$208,948 Vol.
$208,948 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled as of late August 2026, with the White House stating that no active diplomatic channel exists and shifting emphasis to economic pressure on Tehran.**
A June 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day (extendable) window to reach a final agreement covering Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, with explicit provision for endorsement by a binding UN Security Council resolution. Technical talks and mediator efforts involving Qatar and Pakistan produced limited progress before breaking down amid mutual accusations of violations, renewed strikes, and revocation of interim sanctions waivers.
Iran has conditioned further engagement on U.S. fulfillment of prior commitments, while U.S. officials have described current Iranian positions as insufficient. These developments have left the comprehensive deal—and any subsequent UNSC action—unresolved with only four months remaining until the December 31 deadline, producing trader consensus that the required resolution is unlikely.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$208,948End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled as of late August 2026, with the White House stating that no active diplomatic channel exists and shifting emphasis to economic pressure on Tehran.**
A June 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day (extendable) window to reach a final agreement covering Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, with explicit provision for endorsement by a binding UN Security Council resolution. Technical talks and mediator efforts involving Qatar and Pakistan produced limited progress before breaking down amid mutual accusations of violations, renewed strikes, and revocation of interim sanctions waivers.
Iran has conditioned further engagement on U.S. fulfillment of prior commitments, while U.S. officials have described current Iranian positions as insufficient. These developments have left the comprehensive deal—and any subsequent UNSC action—unresolved with only four months remaining until the December 31 deadline, producing trader consensus that the required resolution is unlikely.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$208,948End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled as of late August 2026, with the White House stating that no active diplomatic channel exists and shifting emphasis to economic pressure on Tehran.** A June 2026 memorandum of understanding outlined a 60-day (extendable) window to reach a final agreement covering Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, with explicit provision for endorsement by a binding UN Security Council resolution. Technical talks and mediator efforts involving Qatar and Pakistan produced limited progress before breaking down amid mutual accusations of violations, renewed strikes, and revocation of interim sanctions waivers. Iran has conditioned further engagement on U.S. fulfillment of prior commitments, while U.S. officials have described current Iranian positions as insufficient. These developments have left the comprehensive deal—and any subsequent UNSC action—unresolved with only four months remaining until the December 31 deadline, producing trader consensus that the required resolution is unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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