Trump publicly stated in July 2026 that he had no plan to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors despite an ongoing Justice Department investigation into headquarters renovations, following earlier threats around the May chair transition to Kevin Warsh. Advisers highlighted risks of market disruption and legal challenges, given statutory limits allowing removal only “for cause” such as misconduct, as reinforced by precedent and recent Supreme Court rulings on similar efforts. Powell’s governor term runs until January 2028, creating a defined window, while the administration has prioritized other Fed appointments and focused pressure on monetary policy rather than direct removal attempts. Trader assessments reflect these public signals, procedural hurdles, and the absence of new escalatory actions in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$26,402 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
16%
September 30
14%
December 31
12%
$26,402 Vol.
August 31
$106 Vol.
16%
September 30
$34 Vol.
14%
December 31
$8,476 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump publicly stated in July 2026 that he had no plan to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors despite an ongoing Justice Department investigation into headquarters renovations, following earlier threats around the May chair transition to Kevin Warsh. Advisers highlighted risks of market disruption and legal challenges, given statutory limits allowing removal only “for cause” such as misconduct, as reinforced by precedent and recent Supreme Court rulings on similar efforts. Powell’s governor term runs until January 2028, creating a defined window, while the administration has prioritized other Fed appointments and focused pressure on monetary policy rather than direct removal attempts. Trader assessments reflect these public signals, procedural hurdles, and the absence of new escalatory actions in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$26,402End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump publicly stated in July 2026 that he had no plan to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors despite an ongoing Justice Department investigation into headquarters renovations, following earlier threats around the May chair transition to Kevin Warsh. Advisers highlighted risks of market disruption and legal challenges, given statutory limits allowing removal only “for cause” such as misconduct, as reinforced by precedent and recent Supreme Court rulings on similar efforts. Powell’s governor term runs until January 2028, creating a defined window, while the administration has prioritized other Fed appointments and focused pressure on monetary policy rather than direct removal attempts. Trader assessments reflect these public signals, procedural hurdles, and the absence of new escalatory actions in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,402End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump publicly stated in July 2026 that he had no plan to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors despite an ongoing Justice Department investigation into headquarters renovations, following earlier threats around the May chair transition to Kevin Warsh. Advisers highlighted risks of market disruption and legal challenges, given statutory limits allowing removal only “for cause” such as misconduct, as reinforced by precedent and recent Supreme Court rulings on similar efforts. Powell’s governor term runs until January 2028, creating a defined window, while the administration has prioritized other Fed appointments and focused pressure on monetary policy rather than direct removal attempts. Trader assessments reflect these public signals, procedural hurdles, and the absence of new escalatory actions in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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