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Politics·Main Election

Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

icon for Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

Antonio Martín del Campo 53%

Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez 24%

Leonardo Montañez Castro 21%

Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo <1%

Polymarket

$28,684 Vol.

Antonio Martín del Campo 53%

Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez 24%

Leonardo Montañez Castro 21%

Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo <1%

Polymarket

$28,684 Vol.

icon for Antonio Martín del Campo

Antonio Martín del Campo

$5,223 Vol.

53%

icon for Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez

Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez

$4,327 Vol.

24%

icon for Leonardo Montañez Castro

Leonardo Montañez Castro

$8,099 Vol.

21%

icon for Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo

Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo

$967 Vol.

1%

icon for Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas

Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas

$884 Vol.

1%

icon for Ana Gómez Calzada

Ana Gómez Calzada

$901 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anayeli Muñoz Moreno

Anayeli Muñoz Moreno

$911 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karla Arely Espinoza

Karla Arely Espinoza

$1,022 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kendor Macías

Kendor Macías

$912 Vol.

<1%

icon for Leticia Olivares

Leticia Olivares

$893 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arturo Ávila Anaya

Arturo Ávila Anaya

$886 Vol.

<1%

icon for Salma Luévano Luna

Salma Luévano Luna

$936 Vol.

<1%

icon for Genny Janeth López Valenzuela

Genny Janeth López Valenzuela

$949 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Ruiz Sánchez

Aldo Ruiz Sánchez

$942 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lorena Martínez Rodríguez

Lorena Martínez Rodríguez

$892 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**The Aguascalientes gubernatorial race for 2027 remains closely contested in trader pricing, with Antonio Martín del Campo (PAN) holding the narrowest edge near even money while Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez (Morena) sits as the clearest challenger.** Multiple recent polls show Martín del Campo leading head-to-head scenarios by 2–10 points, reflecting PAN’s stronger partisan identification in the state (typically 41–46%) and his dominant position in internal PAN surveys. Nora Ruvalcaba’s late-August 2026 designation by Morena national leadership as coordinator of the “Defensa de la Transformación” has clarified her as the opposition standard-bearer after internal polling, narrowing some gaps in July surveys but not overturning PAN’s structural advantage. Other listed aspirants, including Leonardo Montañez Castro and various Morena, MC, and PRI figures, register well behind in both party and general-election testing. The tight market reflects a state where the incumbent party retains an edge yet faces an organized national opposition push, with further separation likely to hinge on candidate consolidation, turnout dynamics, and any shifts in national political momentum ahead of the June 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$28,684
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**The Aguascalientes gubernatorial race for 2027 remains closely contested in trader pricing, with Antonio Martín del Campo (PAN) holding the narrowest edge near even money while Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez (Morena) sits as the clearest challenger.** Multiple recent polls show Martín del Campo leading head-to-head scenarios by 2–10 points, reflecting PAN’s stronger partisan identification in the state (typically 41–46%) and his dominant position in internal PAN surveys. Nora Ruvalcaba’s late-August 2026 designation by Morena national leadership as coordinator of the “Defensa de la Transformación” has clarified her as the opposition standard-bearer after internal polling, narrowing some gaps in July surveys but not overturning PAN’s structural advantage. Other listed aspirants, including Leonardo Montañez Castro and various Morena, MC, and PRI figures, register well behind in both party and general-election testing. The tight market reflects a state where the incumbent party retains an edge yet faces an organized national opposition push, with further separation likely to hinge on candidate consolidation, turnout dynamics, and any shifts in national political momentum ahead of the June 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$28,684
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Antonio Martín del Campo" at 53%, followed by "Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner" has generated $28.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner" is "Antonio Martín del Campo" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.