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Politics·Mexico

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

icon for Chihuahua Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 35%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 24%

Julián LeBarón 11.1%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 7%

Polymarket

$14,106 Vol.

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 35%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 24%

Julián LeBarón 11.1%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 7%

Polymarket

$14,106 Vol.

icon for Marco Bonilla Mendoza

Marco Bonilla Mendoza

$4,277 Vol.

35%

icon for Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

$2,662 Vol.

24%

icon for Julián LeBarón

Julián LeBarón

$571 Vol.

6%

icon for Andrea Chávez Treviño

Andrea Chávez Treviño

$2,242 Vol.

7%

icon for Martín Chaparro Payán

Martín Chaparro Payán

$366 Vol.

2%

icon for Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

$336 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniela Álvarez Hernández

Daniela Álvarez Hernández

$388 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vázquez Robles

Mario Vázquez Robles

$336 Vol.

<1%

icon for Francisco Sánchez Villegas

Francisco Sánchez Villegas

$326 Vol.

13%

icon for Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

$426 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jesús Valenciano García

Jesús Valenciano García

$366 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

$386 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gilberto Loya Chávez

Gilberto Loya Chávez

$366 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

$328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graciela Ortiz González

Graciela Ortiz González

$346 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosana Díaz Reyes

Rosana Díaz Reyes

$384 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Marco Bonilla Mendoza of the PAN holds the leading trader-implied probability among named contenders, followed by Morena's Cruz Pérez Cuéllar, amid an open 2027 general election contest. Recent internal party moves explain the positioning: PAN formally designated Bonilla as its candidate in mid-August 2026 after his strong showing in local polls, while Morena's June registration process featured a competitive field including Pérez Cuéllar and Andrea Chávez Treviño, with subsequent surveys showing the two frontrunners trading narrow advantages or trailing Bonilla in head-to-head matchups. Multiple polling firms report single-digit margins or undecided blocs exceeding 10-20 percent, reflecting Chihuahua's divided electorate, the influence of Ciudad Juárez and capital-city bases, and uncertainty over Morena's final nominee and any potential coalition alignments. Late developments such as primary outcomes, additional endorsements, or shifts in voter turnout patterns could widen separation before the vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$14,106
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Marco Bonilla Mendoza of the PAN holds the leading trader-implied probability among named contenders, followed by Morena's Cruz Pérez Cuéllar, amid an open 2027 general election contest. Recent internal party moves explain the positioning: PAN formally designated Bonilla as its candidate in mid-August 2026 after his strong showing in local polls, while Morena's June registration process featured a competitive field including Pérez Cuéllar and Andrea Chávez Treviño, with subsequent surveys showing the two frontrunners trading narrow advantages or trailing Bonilla in head-to-head matchups. Multiple polling firms report single-digit margins or undecided blocs exceeding 10-20 percent, reflecting Chihuahua's divided electorate, the influence of Ciudad Juárez and capital-city bases, and uncertainty over Morena's final nominee and any potential coalition alignments. Late developments such as primary outcomes, additional endorsements, or shifts in voter turnout patterns could widen separation before the vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$14,106
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Bonilla Mendoza" at 35%, followed by "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" is "Marco Bonilla Mendoza" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cruz Pérez Cuéllar" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Chihuahua Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.