**The tight trader consensus between Beatriz Mojica Morga (30.3%) and Esthela Damián Peralta (28.4%) for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race reflects an open internal contest within the dominant Morena-PT-PVEM coalition.** Sixteen-plus aspirants registered in June 2026 for the coordination role that determines the nominee, with Mojica (a senator with prior statewide runs and local networks) and Damián (former presidential legal counsel who returned from federal service) emerging as frontrunners in multiple polls. Other listed figures trail significantly. Morena's strong statewide preference (often above 50%) makes the ultimate nominee the presumptive winner, so market pricing tracks the unresolved survey-based selection process. Recent July measurements showing Mojica ahead in some samples, alongside Damián's territorial push and shared emphasis on security and transformation priorities, have kept probabilities narrow. Further internal polling results, national party signals, or shifts in local alliances could widen separation ahead of the 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeatriz Mojica Morga 28.6%
Esthela Damián Peralta 28.3%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.3%
$23,517 Vol.
$23,517 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
29%
Esthela Damián Peralta
28%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
2%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 28.6%
Esthela Damián Peralta 28.3%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 4.3%
$23,517 Vol.
$23,517 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
29%
Esthela Damián Peralta
28%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
2%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The tight trader consensus between Beatriz Mojica Morga (30.3%) and Esthela Damián Peralta (28.4%) for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race reflects an open internal contest within the dominant Morena-PT-PVEM coalition.** Sixteen-plus aspirants registered in June 2026 for the coordination role that determines the nominee, with Mojica (a senator with prior statewide runs and local networks) and Damián (former presidential legal counsel who returned from federal service) emerging as frontrunners in multiple polls. Other listed figures trail significantly. Morena's strong statewide preference (often above 50%) makes the ultimate nominee the presumptive winner, so market pricing tracks the unresolved survey-based selection process. Recent July measurements showing Mojica ahead in some samples, alongside Damián's territorial push and shared emphasis on security and transformation priorities, have kept probabilities narrow. Further internal polling results, national party signals, or shifts in local alliances could widen separation ahead of the 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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