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icon for Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Finance·AI

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

icon for Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Finance·AI

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

NEW
Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket

$2,773 Vol.

Polymarket

$1.5T

$171 Vol.

94%

$1.75T

$1,438 Vol.

89%

$2T

$904 Vol.

63%

$2.25T

$0 Vol.

40%

$2.5T

$104 Vol.

37%

$2.75T

$119 Vol.

31%

$3T

$37 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO pricing discussions center on banker pitches for a $2 trillion valuation and over $100 billion raise, the largest ever, supported by its $65 billion annualized revenue run rate at the end of July—more than seven times the prior year-end figure—and forward projections of $190–200 billion by 2028. Private-market marks have already climbed to $1.28 trillion, while the June confidential S-1 filing keeps the company on track for a late-September or October Nasdaq listing ahead of OpenAI. Recent product momentum, including the August 27 Model Hardware Standard preview for agentic hardware control and expanded enterprise integrations such as Salesforce’s Claudeforce, reinforces trader views that strong Claude large language model adoption and competitive positioning versus other frontier labs could sustain elevated closing market-cap outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,773
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO pricing discussions center on banker pitches for a $2 trillion valuation and over $100 billion raise, the largest ever, supported by its $65 billion annualized revenue run rate at the end of July—more than seven times the prior year-end figure—and forward projections of $190–200 billion by 2028. Private-market marks have already climbed to $1.28 trillion, while the June confidential S-1 filing keeps the company on track for a late-September or October Nasdaq listing ahead of OpenAI. Recent product momentum, including the August 27 Model Hardware Standard preview for agentic hardware control and expanded enterprise integrations such as Salesforce’s Claudeforce, reinforces trader views that strong Claude large language model adoption and competitive positioning versus other frontier labs could sustain elevated closing market-cap outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,773
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$1.5T" at 94%, followed by "$1.75T" at 89%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" is "$1.5T" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1.75T" at 89%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.