Polls from Quaest and IDEIA in July and August 2026 show Rui Costa (PT) leading intentions for Bahia’s two Senate seats, with Jaques Wagner (PT) consistently in second at 16-20% combined support, ahead of Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL) at single digits. Wagner’s position as the frontrunner for second place reflects PT dominance in the state and his incumbency, even after a June Polícia Federal operation tied to the Caso Master investigation slightly raised his rejection ratings. A fragmented opposition field and high undecided or blank votes keep separation limited among challengers, while scheduled October voting and any late campaign shifts in voter turnout or alliances could alter second-place dynamics before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Jaques Wagner 56%
Rui Costa 15.5%
Angelo Coronel 15.2%
João Roma 7.3%
$18,159 Vol.
$18,159 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
56%
Rui Costa
15%
Angelo Coronel
15%
João Roma
7%
Carlos Sodré
1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Jaques Wagner 56%
Rui Costa 15.5%
Angelo Coronel 15.2%
João Roma 7.3%
$18,159 Vol.
$18,159 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
$10,810 Vol.
56%
Rui Costa
$3,557 Vol.
15%
Angelo Coronel
$457 Vol.
15%
João Roma
$376 Vol.
7%
Carlos Sodré
$272 Vol.
1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$387 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$586 Vol.
<1%
Professora Delliana
$471 Vol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Polls from Quaest and IDEIA in July and August 2026 show Rui Costa (PT) leading intentions for Bahia’s two Senate seats, with Jaques Wagner (PT) consistently in second at 16-20% combined support, ahead of Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL) at single digits. Wagner’s position as the frontrunner for second place reflects PT dominance in the state and his incumbency, even after a June Polícia Federal operation tied to the Caso Master investigation slightly raised his rejection ratings. A fragmented opposition field and high undecided or blank votes keep separation limited among challengers, while scheduled October voting and any late campaign shifts in voter turnout or alliances could alter second-place dynamics before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Volume
$18,159End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Polls from Quaest and IDEIA in July and August 2026 show Rui Costa (PT) leading intentions for Bahia’s two Senate seats, with Jaques Wagner (PT) consistently in second at 16-20% combined support, ahead of Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL) at single digits. Wagner’s position as the frontrunner for second place reflects PT dominance in the state and his incumbency, even after a June Polícia Federal operation tied to the Caso Master investigation slightly raised his rejection ratings. A fragmented opposition field and high undecided or blank votes keep separation limited among challengers, while scheduled October voting and any late campaign shifts in voter turnout or alliances could alter second-place dynamics before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,159End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls from Quaest and IDEIA in July and August 2026 show Rui Costa (PT) leading intentions for Bahia’s two Senate seats, with Jaques Wagner (PT) consistently in second at 16-20% combined support, ahead of Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL) at single digits. Wagner’s position as the frontrunner for second place reflects PT dominance in the state and his incumbency, even after a June Polícia Federal operation tied to the Caso Master investigation slightly raised his rejection ratings. A fragmented opposition field and high undecided or blank votes keep separation limited among challengers, while scheduled October voting and any late campaign shifts in voter turnout or alliances could alter second-place dynamics before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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