Skip to main content
icon for Campeche Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Campeche Governor Election Winner

icon for Campeche Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Campeche Governor Election Winner

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 69%

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 7.5%

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores 4.7%

Pablo Angulo Briceño 2.8%

Polymarket

$20,975 Vol.

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 69%

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 7.5%

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores 4.7%

Pablo Angulo Briceño 2.8%

Polymarket

$20,975 Vol.

icon for Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus

$9,240 Vol.

69%

icon for Eliseo Fernández Montúfar

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar

$627 Vol.

7%

icon for Gerardo Sánchez Sansores

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores

$475 Vol.

5%

icon for Pablo Angulo Briceño

Pablo Angulo Briceño

$417 Vol.

3%

icon for Christian Castro Bello

Christian Castro Bello

$435 Vol.

3%

icon for Nelly Márquez Zapata

Nelly Márquez Zapata

$406 Vol.

2%

icon for Martina Kantún Can

Martina Kantún Can

$530 Vol.

2%

icon for Yolanda Valladares Valle

Yolanda Valladares Valle

$403 Vol.

2%

icon for Ricardo Medina Farfán

Ricardo Medina Farfán

$475 Vol.

2%

icon for Paul Arce Ontiveros

Paul Arce Ontiveros

$402 Vol.

2%

icon for Aníbal Ostoa Ortega

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega

$576 Vol.

1%

icon for Biby Rabelo de la Torre

Biby Rabelo de la Torre

$413 Vol.

1%

icon for Salvador Farías González

Salvador Farías González

$445 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosario Cruz Hernández

Rosario Cruz Hernández

$493 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniel Barreda Pavón

Daniel Barreda Pavón

$446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liz Hernández Romero

Liz Hernández Romero

$418 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Ucán Yam

Carlos Ucán Yam

$433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rocío Abreu Artiñano

Rocío Abreu Artiñano

$422 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrés Fernández del Valle

Andrés Fernández del Valle

$405 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora

Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora

$498 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armando Toledo Jamit

Armando Toledo Jamit

$493 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ariana Rejón Lara

Ariana Rejón Lara

$479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Laura Baqueiro Ramos

Laura Baqueiro Ramos

$476 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emilio Lara Calderón

Emilio Lara Calderón

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dulce Dorantes Cervera

Dulce Dorantes Cervera

$558 Vol.

<1%

icon for Francisco Farías Bailón

Francisco Farías Bailón

$505 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds the strongest position in the Campeche governor race at 69% implied probability after Morena’s national leadership formally designated him coordinator of the defense of the 4T on August 25, 2026, following internal surveys and the governor’s earlier endorsement. The move, backed by Layda Sansores, consolidated support within the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance for the 2027 contest and sidelined other internal aspirants. Trailing candidates such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar (7.4%) and Gerardo Sánchez Sansores (3.3%) reflect more limited organizational backing and polling trends that show the ruling coalition ahead of fragmented opposition efforts. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency alignment, territorial organization in key municipalities like Ciudad del Carmen, and the absence of major late disruptions as the primary drivers of current consensus.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$20,975
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds the strongest position in the Campeche governor race at 69% implied probability after Morena’s national leadership formally designated him coordinator of the defense of the 4T on August 25, 2026, following internal surveys and the governor’s earlier endorsement. The move, backed by Layda Sansores, consolidated support within the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance for the 2027 contest and sidelined other internal aspirants. Trailing candidates such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar (7.4%) and Gerardo Sánchez Sansores (3.3%) reflect more limited organizational backing and polling trends that show the ruling coalition ahead of fragmented opposition efforts. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency alignment, territorial organization in key municipalities like Ciudad del Carmen, and the absence of major late disruptions as the primary drivers of current consensus.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$20,975
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Related

icon for Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?

Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?

34%
icon for Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

29%
icon for Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?

67%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Campeche Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus" at 69%, followed by "Eliseo Fernández Montúfar" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Campeche Governor Election Winner" has generated $21K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Campeche Governor Election Winner," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Campeche Governor Election Winner" is "Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eliseo Fernández Montúfar" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Campeche Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.