Trump's Truth Social activity in the September 18-25, 2026 window reflects typical patterns of engagement with breaking news, policy updates, and campaign-style messaging. Historical volumes show wide week-to-week swings tied to the intensity of domestic political developments, international headlines, and his personal schedule, which explains why trader probabilities cluster tightly between the 120-199 and 200+ ranges. Recent weeks have featured sustained output during periods of legislative debate or public statements, supporting the current distribution across multiple buckets. Key variables that could widen the spread include scheduled appearances, major economic or security announcements, or rapid-response commentary on unfolding events, all of which have historically shifted daily posting rates and influenced the final weekly total.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 27%
140-159 19%
120-139 14%
160-179 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
3%
60-79
5%
80-99
6%
100-119
9%
120-139
14%
140-159
19%
160-179
14%
180-199
11%
200+
27%
200+ 27%
140-159 19%
120-139 14%
160-179 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<20
$103 Vol.
1%
20-39
$23 Vol.
1%
40-59
$24 Vol.
3%
60-79
$213 Vol.
5%
80-99
$20 Vol.
6%
100-119
$20 Vol.
9%
120-139
$0 Vol.
14%
140-159
$395 Vol.
19%
160-179
$18 Vol.
14%
180-199
$8 Vol.
11%
200+
$648 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity in the September 18-25, 2026 window reflects typical patterns of engagement with breaking news, policy updates, and campaign-style messaging. Historical volumes show wide week-to-week swings tied to the intensity of domestic political developments, international headlines, and his personal schedule, which explains why trader probabilities cluster tightly between the 120-199 and 200+ ranges. Recent weeks have featured sustained output during periods of legislative debate or public statements, supporting the current distribution across multiple buckets. Key variables that could widen the spread include scheduled appearances, major economic or security announcements, or rapid-response commentary on unfolding events, all of which have historically shifted daily posting rates and influenced the final weekly total.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,473End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity in the September 18-25, 2026 window reflects typical patterns of engagement with breaking news, policy updates, and campaign-style messaging. Historical volumes show wide week-to-week swings tied to the intensity of domestic political developments, international headlines, and his personal schedule, which explains why trader probabilities cluster tightly between the 120-199 and 200+ ranges. Recent weeks have featured sustained output during periods of legislative debate or public statements, supporting the current distribution across multiple buckets. Key variables that could widen the spread include scheduled appearances, major economic or security announcements, or rapid-response commentary on unfolding events, all of which have historically shifted daily posting rates and influenced the final weekly total.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,473End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social activity in the September 18-25, 2026 window reflects typical patterns of engagement with breaking news, policy updates, and campaign-style messaging. Historical volumes show wide week-to-week swings tied to the intensity of domestic political developments, international headlines, and his personal schedule, which explains why trader probabilities cluster tightly between the 120-199 and 200+ ranges. Recent weeks have featured sustained output during periods of legislative debate or public statements, supporting the current distribution across multiple buckets. Key variables that could widen the spread include scheduled appearances, major economic or security announcements, or rapid-response commentary on unfolding events, all of which have historically shifted daily posting rates and influenced the final weekly total.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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