President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remains firmly in office as of late August 2026, actively chairing cabinet meetings, conducting diplomacy, and ratifying legislation such as the August 2026 framework law advancing the PKK disarmament and reintegration process. Turkey’s next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections fall in May 2028, with the ruling People’s Alliance holding a parliamentary majority short of the 360-seat threshold needed for an early vote or constitutional changes that could extend eligibility. Opposition parties face sustained legal pressures, including court actions against the CHP and arrests of prominent figures, limiting their capacity to force an early transition. These institutional and electoral timelines, combined with the absence of acute triggers for resignation or removal, underpin trader consensus that Erdoğan will continue serving well past December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$619,008 Vol.
$619,008 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
6% chance
$619,008 Vol.
$619,008 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remains firmly in office as of late August 2026, actively chairing cabinet meetings, conducting diplomacy, and ratifying legislation such as the August 2026 framework law advancing the PKK disarmament and reintegration process. Turkey’s next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections fall in May 2028, with the ruling People’s Alliance holding a parliamentary majority short of the 360-seat threshold needed for an early vote or constitutional changes that could extend eligibility. Opposition parties face sustained legal pressures, including court actions against the CHP and arrests of prominent figures, limiting their capacity to force an early transition. These institutional and electoral timelines, combined with the absence of acute triggers for resignation or removal, underpin trader consensus that Erdoğan will continue serving well past December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$619,008End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remains firmly in office as of late August 2026, actively chairing cabinet meetings, conducting diplomacy, and ratifying legislation such as the August 2026 framework law advancing the PKK disarmament and reintegration process. Turkey’s next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections fall in May 2028, with the ruling People’s Alliance holding a parliamentary majority short of the 360-seat threshold needed for an early vote or constitutional changes that could extend eligibility. Opposition parties face sustained legal pressures, including court actions against the CHP and arrests of prominent figures, limiting their capacity to force an early transition. These institutional and electoral timelines, combined with the absence of acute triggers for resignation or removal, underpin trader consensus that Erdoğan will continue serving well past December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$619,008End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remains firmly in office as of late August 2026, actively chairing cabinet meetings, conducting diplomacy, and ratifying legislation such as the August 2026 framework law advancing the PKK disarmament and reintegration process. Turkey’s next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections fall in May 2028, with the ruling People’s Alliance holding a parliamentary majority short of the 360-seat threshold needed for an early vote or constitutional changes that could extend eligibility. Opposition parties face sustained legal pressures, including court actions against the CHP and arrests of prominent figures, limiting their capacity to force an early transition. These institutional and electoral timelines, combined with the absence of acute triggers for resignation or removal, underpin trader consensus that Erdoğan will continue serving well past December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions