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icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Sep 16

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

Sep 16

Dec 9

Jan 27, 2027

2 24.2%

3 23%

4+ 22%

1 16.7%

Polymarket
NEW

2 24.2%

3 23%

4+ 22%

1 16.7%

Polymarket
NEW

0

$6,195 Vol.

16%

1

$409 Vol.

17%

2

$210 Vol.

24%

3

$249 Vol.

23%

4+

$238 Vol.

22%

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, resilient growth, and a hawkish tilt among 2026 FOMC voters are sustaining expectations for multiple dissents at the December meeting.** Recent July 2026 action produced a 9-3 hold with three members (Hammack, Kashkari, Logan) dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, echoing earlier splits under Chair Warsh. The June dot plot already showed a median federal-funds-rate projection near 3.8% for year-end 2026, with several participants favoring tighter policy amid tariff and energy-price pressures. Incoming regional presidents add further hawkish voices, while data dependence and the proximity of the September and December meetings introduce volatility that keeps probabilities for two, three, or four-plus dissents clustered near 21–24%. Traders are pricing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that deep divisions will persist absent a clear inflation turnaround.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,301
End Date
Dec 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, resilient growth, and a hawkish tilt among 2026 FOMC voters are sustaining expectations for multiple dissents at the December meeting.** Recent July 2026 action produced a 9-3 hold with three members (Hammack, Kashkari, Logan) dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, echoing earlier splits under Chair Warsh. The June dot plot already showed a median federal-funds-rate projection near 3.8% for year-end 2026, with several participants favoring tighter policy amid tariff and energy-price pressures. Incoming regional presidents add further hawkish voices, while data dependence and the proximity of the September and December meetings introduce volatility that keeps probabilities for two, three, or four-plus dissents clustered near 21–24%. Traders are pricing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that deep divisions will persist absent a clear inflation turnaround.

The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,301
End Date
Dec 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2" at 24%, followed by "3" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

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The current frontrunner for "How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?" is "2" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

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