Elevated inflation readings and the 9-3 vote at the July FOMC meeting, with three regional presidents dissenting for a rate hike, form the main drivers behind trader positioning on dissent counts at the September 15–16 meeting. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year in the latest release amid energy price pressures, while the labor market shows mixed signals with payroll gains slowing and unemployment near 4.1–4.3%. This balance leaves market-implied odds nearly even between two or three dissents at 44% each, reflecting uncertainty over whether Chair Warsh can maintain broad alignment or if additional hawks will break ranks ahead of the updated Summary of Economic Projections. Recent soft payrolls and in-line PCE prints have tempered September hike odds to roughly even, with the Jackson Hole symposium and August employment and CPI releases serving as key near-term inputs into committee sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
2 43%
3 41%
1 24%
4+ 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
0
17%
1
24%
2
43%
3
41%
4+
24%
2 43%
3 41%
1 24%
4+ 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
0
$21 Vol.
17%
1
$0 Vol.
24%
2
$0 Vol.
43%
3
$0 Vol.
41%
4+
$0 Vol.
24%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings and the 9-3 vote at the July FOMC meeting, with three regional presidents dissenting for a rate hike, form the main drivers behind trader positioning on dissent counts at the September 15–16 meeting. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year in the latest release amid energy price pressures, while the labor market shows mixed signals with payroll gains slowing and unemployment near 4.1–4.3%. This balance leaves market-implied odds nearly even between two or three dissents at 44% each, reflecting uncertainty over whether Chair Warsh can maintain broad alignment or if additional hawks will break ranks ahead of the updated Summary of Economic Projections. Recent soft payrolls and in-line PCE prints have tempered September hike odds to roughly even, with the Jackson Hole symposium and August employment and CPI releases serving as key near-term inputs into committee sentiment.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$21End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings and the 9-3 vote at the July FOMC meeting, with three regional presidents dissenting for a rate hike, form the main drivers behind trader positioning on dissent counts at the September 15–16 meeting. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year in the latest release amid energy price pressures, while the labor market shows mixed signals with payroll gains slowing and unemployment near 4.1–4.3%. This balance leaves market-implied odds nearly even between two or three dissents at 44% each, reflecting uncertainty over whether Chair Warsh can maintain broad alignment or if additional hawks will break ranks ahead of the updated Summary of Economic Projections. Recent soft payrolls and in-line PCE prints have tempered September hike odds to roughly even, with the Jackson Hole symposium and August employment and CPI releases serving as key near-term inputs into committee sentiment.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings and the 9-3 vote at the July FOMC meeting, with three regional presidents dissenting for a rate hike, form the main drivers behind trader positioning on dissent counts at the September 15–16 meeting. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year in the latest release amid energy price pressures, while the labor market shows mixed signals with payroll gains slowing and unemployment near 4.1–4.3%. This balance leaves market-implied odds nearly even between two or three dissents at 44% each, reflecting uncertainty over whether Chair Warsh can maintain broad alignment or if additional hawks will break ranks ahead of the updated Summary of Economic Projections. Recent soft payrolls and in-line PCE prints have tempered September hike odds to roughly even, with the Jackson Hole symposium and August employment and CPI releases serving as key near-term inputs into committee sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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