Kim Jong Un’s active leadership through late August 2026, including his presiding over an enlarged Workers’ Party politburo meeting on August 25 to review policy implementation, underpins the 96% trader consensus against his removal by year-end. State media has accelerated efforts to center the regime’s identity on his personal authority and “people-first” governance, evidenced by reduced emphasis on prior leaders’ legacies and constitutional revisions elevating his monolithic leadership system. Strengthened ties with Russia and China, plus economic gains from weapons-related cooperation, further stabilize his position amid U.S. diplomatic overtures that Pyongyang has not yet engaged. Succession signaling around his daughter remains forward-looking and does not indicate near-term transition. Only an unforeseen health crisis or elite-level challenge could alter the current trajectory within the short resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$194,518 Vol.
$194,518 Vol.
$194,518 Vol.
$194,518 Vol.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kim Jong Un’s active leadership through late August 2026, including his presiding over an enlarged Workers’ Party politburo meeting on August 25 to review policy implementation, underpins the 96% trader consensus against his removal by year-end. State media has accelerated efforts to center the regime’s identity on his personal authority and “people-first” governance, evidenced by reduced emphasis on prior leaders’ legacies and constitutional revisions elevating his monolithic leadership system. Strengthened ties with Russia and China, plus economic gains from weapons-related cooperation, further stabilize his position amid U.S. diplomatic overtures that Pyongyang has not yet engaged. Succession signaling around his daughter remains forward-looking and does not indicate near-term transition. Only an unforeseen health crisis or elite-level challenge could alter the current trajectory within the short resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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