Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving revenue-sharing legislation and the premier’s refusal to countersign bills, leading to a May 19, 2026, floor vote that passed 56-50 but fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority of 76 seats. With the ruling Democratic Progressive Party holding 51 seats and the combined Kuomintang-Taiwan People’s Party bloc at approximately 62, the constitutional threshold for referral to the Constitutional Court remains unreachable under current legislative arithmetic. No new impeachment motions have advanced since the failed vote, amid ongoing partisan clashes over budgets, defense spending, and separation of powers. Trader consensus on low near-term impeachment odds reflects these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts that could alter seat counts or procedural rules.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLai Ching-te impeached by...?
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?
$1,358,983 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
3%
$1,358,983 Vol.
December 31
$288 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving revenue-sharing legislation and the premier’s refusal to countersign bills, leading to a May 19, 2026, floor vote that passed 56-50 but fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority of 76 seats. With the ruling Democratic Progressive Party holding 51 seats and the combined Kuomintang-Taiwan People’s Party bloc at approximately 62, the constitutional threshold for referral to the Constitutional Court remains unreachable under current legislative arithmetic. No new impeachment motions have advanced since the failed vote, amid ongoing partisan clashes over budgets, defense spending, and separation of powers. Trader consensus on low near-term impeachment odds reflects these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts that could alter seat counts or procedural rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Volume
$1,358,983End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving revenue-sharing legislation and the premier’s refusal to countersign bills, leading to a May 19, 2026, floor vote that passed 56-50 but fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority of 76 seats. With the ruling Democratic Progressive Party holding 51 seats and the combined Kuomintang-Taiwan People’s Party bloc at approximately 62, the constitutional threshold for referral to the Constitutional Court remains unreachable under current legislative arithmetic. No new impeachment motions have advanced since the failed vote, amid ongoing partisan clashes over budgets, defense spending, and separation of powers. Trader consensus on low near-term impeachment odds reflects these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts that could alter seat counts or procedural rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,358,983End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving revenue-sharing legislation and the premier’s refusal to countersign bills, leading to a May 19, 2026, floor vote that passed 56-50 but fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority of 76 seats. With the ruling Democratic Progressive Party holding 51 seats and the combined Kuomintang-Taiwan People’s Party bloc at approximately 62, the constitutional threshold for referral to the Constitutional Court remains unreachable under current legislative arithmetic. No new impeachment motions have advanced since the failed vote, amid ongoing partisan clashes over budgets, defense spending, and separation of powers. Trader consensus on low near-term impeachment odds reflects these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts that could alter seat counts or procedural rules.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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