Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 1 will likely range 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 10–15 knots, and residual monsoon humidity near 70–90%. This narrow band explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around 25–27°C, as modest differences in nocturnal cloud cover or sea-breeze timing can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology centers near 26°C, while current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no strong cooling or warming signals expected before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a directional bias.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 1?
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
23°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
14%
31°C
17%
32°C or higher
43%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
23°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$404 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$247 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
17%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 1 will likely range 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 10–15 knots, and residual monsoon humidity near 70–90%. This narrow band explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around 25–27°C, as modest differences in nocturnal cloud cover or sea-breeze timing can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology centers near 26°C, while current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no strong cooling or warming signals expected before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a directional bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$651End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 1 will likely range 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 10–15 knots, and residual monsoon humidity near 70–90%. This narrow band explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around 25–27°C, as modest differences in nocturnal cloud cover or sea-breeze timing can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology centers near 26°C, while current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no strong cooling or warming signals expected before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a directional bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$651End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 1 will likely range 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 10–15 knots, and residual monsoon humidity near 70–90%. This narrow band explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around 25–27°C, as modest differences in nocturnal cloud cover or sea-breeze timing can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology centers near 26°C, while current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and no strong cooling or warming signals expected before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a directional bias.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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