Recent National Weather Service and model consensus for Denver on September 1 points to a high near 84°F under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F bin. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings into the upper 80s. Historical climatology places the early-September normal around 81°F, so current guidance sits slightly above average yet well below extreme thresholds. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely watching the next NWS update and any shifts in the 0-48 hour forecast that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on September 1?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 1?
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92°F or higher
6%
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
34%
86-87°F
$55 Vol.
24%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
7%
92°F or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus for Denver on September 1 points to a high near 84°F under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F bin. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings into the upper 80s. Historical climatology places the early-September normal around 81°F, so current guidance sits slightly above average yet well below extreme thresholds. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely watching the next NWS update and any shifts in the 0-48 hour forecast that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$60End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus for Denver on September 1 points to a high near 84°F under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F bin. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings into the upper 80s. Historical climatology places the early-September normal around 81°F, so current guidance sits slightly above average yet well below extreme thresholds. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely watching the next NWS update and any shifts in the 0-48 hour forecast that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus for Denver on September 1 points to a high near 84°F under partly cloudy skies with only a 20% thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F bin. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings into the upper 80s. Historical climatology places the early-September normal around 81°F, so current guidance sits slightly above average yet well below extreme thresholds. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are closely watching the next NWS update and any shifts in the 0-48 hour forecast that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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