**Latest numerical weather models from sources like WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and regional forecasts show Qingdao under mostly sunny to clear skies on September 1 with a northerly wind flow, supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F).** This aligns with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where highs typically average 26–28°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions and moderate humidity. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in peak temperature, driven by variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies can limit surface heating), minor cloud development, and model resolution of local sea-breeze effects. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the baseline outlook in the past 48 hours, leaving traders focused on the latest model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies for any last adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 1?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 1?
29°C 34%
28°C 27%
30°C 27%
32°C or higher 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
17%
29°C 34%
28°C 27%
30°C 27%
32°C or higher 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$376 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$2 Vol.
11%
28°C
$33 Vol.
27%
29°C
$1 Vol.
34%
30°C
$43 Vol.
27%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather models from sources like WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and regional forecasts show Qingdao under mostly sunny to clear skies on September 1 with a northerly wind flow, supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F).** This aligns with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where highs typically average 26–28°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions and moderate humidity.
The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in peak temperature, driven by variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies can limit surface heating), minor cloud development, and model resolution of local sea-breeze effects. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the baseline outlook in the past 48 hours, leaving traders focused on the latest model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,207End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather models from sources like WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and regional forecasts show Qingdao under mostly sunny to clear skies on September 1 with a northerly wind flow, supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F).** This aligns with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where highs typically average 26–28°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions and moderate humidity.
The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in peak temperature, driven by variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies can limit surface heating), minor cloud development, and model resolution of local sea-breeze effects. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the baseline outlook in the past 48 hours, leaving traders focused on the latest model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,207End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather models from sources like WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and regional forecasts show Qingdao under mostly sunny to clear skies on September 1 with a northerly wind flow, supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F).** This aligns with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where highs typically average 26–28°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions and moderate humidity. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in peak temperature, driven by variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies can limit surface heating), minor cloud development, and model resolution of local sea-breeze effects. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the baseline outlook in the past 48 hours, leaving traders focused on the latest model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies for any last adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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