Current forecasts for Manila on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C under the enhanced southwest monsoon (Habagat), which is driving scattered showers, high humidity near 80 %, and persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph. These conditions limit intense solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping values close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 29–31 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing: lighter or delayed convection would allow brief afternoon peaks toward 33 °C, while steadier monsoon showers would cap readings at 30–31 °C. Official updates from PAGASA and short-range model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow distinctions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on September 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 1?
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
19%
34°C
19%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$31 Vol.
3%
30°C
$33 Vol.
12%
31°C
$57 Vol.
27%
32°C
$75 Vol.
36%
33°C
$0 Vol.
19%
34°C
$0 Vol.
19%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C under the enhanced southwest monsoon (Habagat), which is driving scattered showers, high humidity near 80 %, and persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph. These conditions limit intense solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping values close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 29–31 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing: lighter or delayed convection would allow brief afternoon peaks toward 33 °C, while steadier monsoon showers would cap readings at 30–31 °C. Official updates from PAGASA and short-range model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow distinctions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$528End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Manila on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C under the enhanced southwest monsoon (Habagat), which is driving scattered showers, high humidity near 80 %, and persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph. These conditions limit intense solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping values close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 29–31 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing: lighter or delayed convection would allow brief afternoon peaks toward 33 °C, while steadier monsoon showers would cap readings at 30–31 °C. Official updates from PAGASA and short-range model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow distinctions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$528End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Manila on September 1 point to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C under the enhanced southwest monsoon (Habagat), which is driving scattered showers, high humidity near 80 %, and persistent southwesterly winds of 15–25 mph. These conditions limit intense solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping values close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 29–31 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing: lighter or delayed convection would allow brief afternoon peaks toward 33 °C, while steadier monsoon showers would cap readings at 30–31 °C. Official updates from PAGASA and short-range model runs issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine these narrow distinctions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions