Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads trader pricing for first place in the Maranhão Senate race at 67.5%, well ahead of Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10.1% and Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 3.8%, with most other candidates below 2%. A late-August Quaest poll showed her at 16% in combined vote intentions for the two Senate seats, ahead of Rocha (11%), Bonfim (10%), Fufuca (9%), and Eliziane Gama (9%), amid 27% undecided. Sarney’s positioning stems from her prior governorships, Senate experience, MDB alliance with the gubernatorial ticket, and name recognition tied to the Sarney family legacy. Recent polling momentum and formal candidacy confirmation in July have reinforced her front-runner status ahead of the October 4 election, though high undecided shares leave room for movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRoseana Sarney 68%
Lahesio Bonfim 10.1%
Fufuca 7.2%
Weverton Rocha 7.1%
$12,360 Vol.
$12,360 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
68%
Lahesio Bonfim
10%
Fufuca
7%
Weverton Rocha
7%
Simplício Araújo
1%
Wilson Leite
1%
Raimundo Moreira
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Eliziane Gama
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Roseana Sarney 68%
Lahesio Bonfim 10.1%
Fufuca 7.2%
Weverton Rocha 7.1%
$12,360 Vol.
$12,360 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$8,024 Vol.
68%
Lahesio Bonfim
$436 Vol.
10%
Fufuca
$278 Vol.
7%
Weverton Rocha
$1,990 Vol.
7%
Simplício Araújo
$228 Vol.
1%
Wilson Leite
$255 Vol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$259 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$253 Vol.
<1%
Eliziane Gama
$255 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$148 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$233 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads trader pricing for first place in the Maranhão Senate race at 67.5%, well ahead of Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10.1% and Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 3.8%, with most other candidates below 2%. A late-August Quaest poll showed her at 16% in combined vote intentions for the two Senate seats, ahead of Rocha (11%), Bonfim (10%), Fufuca (9%), and Eliziane Gama (9%), amid 27% undecided. Sarney’s positioning stems from her prior governorships, Senate experience, MDB alliance with the gubernatorial ticket, and name recognition tied to the Sarney family legacy. Recent polling momentum and formal candidacy confirmation in July have reinforced her front-runner status ahead of the October 4 election, though high undecided shares leave room for movement.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$12,360End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads trader pricing for first place in the Maranhão Senate race at 67.5%, well ahead of Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10.1% and Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 3.8%, with most other candidates below 2%. A late-August Quaest poll showed her at 16% in combined vote intentions for the two Senate seats, ahead of Rocha (11%), Bonfim (10%), Fufuca (9%), and Eliziane Gama (9%), amid 27% undecided. Sarney’s positioning stems from her prior governorships, Senate experience, MDB alliance with the gubernatorial ticket, and name recognition tied to the Sarney family legacy. Recent polling momentum and formal candidacy confirmation in July have reinforced her front-runner status ahead of the October 4 election, though high undecided shares leave room for movement.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,360End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads trader pricing for first place in the Maranhão Senate race at 67.5%, well ahead of Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10.1% and Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 3.8%, with most other candidates below 2%. A late-August Quaest poll showed her at 16% in combined vote intentions for the two Senate seats, ahead of Rocha (11%), Bonfim (10%), Fufuca (9%), and Eliziane Gama (9%), amid 27% undecided. Sarney’s positioning stems from her prior governorships, Senate experience, MDB alliance with the gubernatorial ticket, and name recognition tied to the Sarney family legacy. Recent polling momentum and formal candidacy confirmation in July have reinforced her front-runner status ahead of the October 4 election, though high undecided shares leave room for movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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