Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among five leading candidates for Maranhão's two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney at 16%, Weverton Rocha at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim at 10%, and André Fufuca and Eliziane Gama at 9% each in combined vote intention, amid 27% undecided and high spontaneous blank responses. This fragmentation, combined with voters selecting two names and established figures from major parties and alliances formalized in July conventions, sustains tight positioning for second place. Trader consensus reflects these polling spreads and the potential for late shifts from campaign momentum or coalition dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote, while lower-polling names face steeper barriers to overtaking the top group.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Fufuca 27%
Weverton Rocha 26%
Roseana Sarney 14%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.7%
$28,025 Vol.
$28,025 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fufuca
27%
Weverton Rocha
26%
Roseana Sarney
14%
Lahesio Bonfim
12%
Eliziane Gama
11%
Enilton Rodrigues
4%
Raimundo Moreira
2%
Wilson Leite
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Fufuca 27%
Weverton Rocha 26%
Roseana Sarney 14%
Lahesio Bonfim 11.7%
$28,025 Vol.
$28,025 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fufuca
$5,006 Vol.
27%
Weverton Rocha
$10,305 Vol.
26%
Roseana Sarney
$7,142 Vol.
14%
Lahesio Bonfim
$1,405 Vol.
12%
Eliziane Gama
$1,302 Vol.
11%
Enilton Rodrigues
$483 Vol.
4%
Raimundo Moreira
$431 Vol.
2%
Wilson Leite
$443 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$423 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$568 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$516 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among five leading candidates for Maranhão's two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney at 16%, Weverton Rocha at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim at 10%, and André Fufuca and Eliziane Gama at 9% each in combined vote intention, amid 27% undecided and high spontaneous blank responses. This fragmentation, combined with voters selecting two names and established figures from major parties and alliances formalized in July conventions, sustains tight positioning for second place. Trader consensus reflects these polling spreads and the potential for late shifts from campaign momentum or coalition dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote, while lower-polling names face steeper barriers to overtaking the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$28,025End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among five leading candidates for Maranhão's two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney at 16%, Weverton Rocha at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim at 10%, and André Fufuca and Eliziane Gama at 9% each in combined vote intention, amid 27% undecided and high spontaneous blank responses. This fragmentation, combined with voters selecting two names and established figures from major parties and alliances formalized in July conventions, sustains tight positioning for second place. Trader consensus reflects these polling spreads and the potential for late shifts from campaign momentum or coalition dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote, while lower-polling names face steeper barriers to overtaking the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,025End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling shows a technical tie among five leading candidates for Maranhão's two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney at 16%, Weverton Rocha at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim at 10%, and André Fufuca and Eliziane Gama at 9% each in combined vote intention, amid 27% undecided and high spontaneous blank responses. This fragmentation, combined with voters selecting two names and established figures from major parties and alliances formalized in July conventions, sustains tight positioning for second place. Trader consensus reflects these polling spreads and the potential for late shifts from campaign momentum or coalition dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote, while lower-polling names face steeper barriers to overtaking the top group.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions