Nawaf Salam assumed Lebanon’s premiership in February 2025 after securing 84 parliamentary votes and forming a 24-member cabinet under President Joseph Aoun. His government has since advanced implementation of the Taif Accord, ceasefire terms with Israel, and state authority across territory, including army deployments in the south and restrictions on external armed groups. As of late August 2026, Salam continues active diplomacy, security coordination, and public statements on reconstruction and sovereignty with no reported parliamentary challenges, no-confidence motions, or succession signals. These developments underpin trader consensus that his term will extend through the remainder of the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
12% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
12% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam assumed Lebanon’s premiership in February 2025 after securing 84 parliamentary votes and forming a 24-member cabinet under President Joseph Aoun. His government has since advanced implementation of the Taif Accord, ceasefire terms with Israel, and state authority across territory, including army deployments in the south and restrictions on external armed groups. As of late August 2026, Salam continues active diplomacy, security coordination, and public statements on reconstruction and sovereignty with no reported parliamentary challenges, no-confidence motions, or succession signals. These developments underpin trader consensus that his term will extend through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,148End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam assumed Lebanon’s premiership in February 2025 after securing 84 parliamentary votes and forming a 24-member cabinet under President Joseph Aoun. His government has since advanced implementation of the Taif Accord, ceasefire terms with Israel, and state authority across territory, including army deployments in the south and restrictions on external armed groups. As of late August 2026, Salam continues active diplomacy, security coordination, and public statements on reconstruction and sovereignty with no reported parliamentary challenges, no-confidence motions, or succession signals. These developments underpin trader consensus that his term will extend through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,148End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nawaf Salam assumed Lebanon’s premiership in February 2025 after securing 84 parliamentary votes and forming a 24-member cabinet under President Joseph Aoun. His government has since advanced implementation of the Taif Accord, ceasefire terms with Israel, and state authority across territory, including army deployments in the south and restrictions on external armed groups. As of late August 2026, Salam continues active diplomacy, security coordination, and public statements on reconstruction and sovereignty with no reported parliamentary challenges, no-confidence motions, or succession signals. These developments underpin trader consensus that his term will extend through the remainder of the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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