Google’s Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, remains in partner testing as of late August due to repeated shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Multiple Flash variants (3.6, 3.7, Lite, Cyber) shipped on an accelerated cadence instead, while Google confirmed it has begun pre-training a larger Gemini 4 base model to reach the next frontier. Traders view the 3.5 Pro delay—tied to internal benchmark misses and a late-June training reset—as increasing the chance the company skips ahead or further postpones a Pro release, with upcoming earnings commentary and any partner-testing signals likely to move implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,149,065 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
August 31
4%
September 15
9%
September 30
30%
October 31
53%
$1,149,065 Vol.
August 31
$319,298 Vol.
4%
September 15
$2,483 Vol.
9%
September 30
$15,281 Vol.
30%
October 31
$3,112 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, remains in partner testing as of late August due to repeated shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Multiple Flash variants (3.6, 3.7, Lite, Cyber) shipped on an accelerated cadence instead, while Google confirmed it has begun pre-training a larger Gemini 4 base model to reach the next frontier. Traders view the 3.5 Pro delay—tied to internal benchmark misses and a late-June training reset—as increasing the chance the company skips ahead or further postpones a Pro release, with upcoming earnings commentary and any partner-testing signals likely to move implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,149,065End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, remains in partner testing as of late August due to repeated shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Multiple Flash variants (3.6, 3.7, Lite, Cyber) shipped on an accelerated cadence instead, while Google confirmed it has begun pre-training a larger Gemini 4 base model to reach the next frontier. Traders view the 3.5 Pro delay—tied to internal benchmark misses and a late-June training reset—as increasing the chance the company skips ahead or further postpones a Pro release, with upcoming earnings commentary and any partner-testing signals likely to move implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,149,065End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google’s Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, remains in partner testing as of late August due to repeated shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Multiple Flash variants (3.6, 3.7, Lite, Cyber) shipped on an accelerated cadence instead, while Google confirmed it has begun pre-training a larger Gemini 4 base model to reach the next frontier. Traders view the 3.5 Pro delay—tied to internal benchmark misses and a late-June training reset—as increasing the chance the company skips ahead or further postpones a Pro release, with upcoming earnings commentary and any partner-testing signals likely to move implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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