Katharina Pötter (CDU), the incumbent Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, leads trader pricing in the Osnabrück mayoral race due to established name recognition, her record on local infrastructure and city finances, and unanimous CDU nomination in June 2026. The September 13 first-round vote, with a potential September 27 runoff, features a fragmented field including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann, FDP’s Oliver Hasskamp, and Die Linke’s Thomas Groß. No single challenger has consolidated broad support, limiting shifts in probabilities despite the close election timeline and standard direct-election rules requiring a majority. Trader consensus reflects Pötter’s structural edge in this low-information local contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKatharina Pötter 75%
Robert Alferink 13%
Volker Bajus 9.7%
Thorsten Wassermann 3.7%
$56,330 Vol.
$56,330 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
75%
Robert Alferink
13%
Volker Bajus
10%
Thorsten Wassermann
4%
Oliver Hasskamp
1%
Thomas Groß
1%
Katharina Pötter 75%
Robert Alferink 13%
Volker Bajus 9.7%
Thorsten Wassermann 3.7%
$56,330 Vol.
$56,330 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
$42,755 Vol.
75%
Robert Alferink
$11,685 Vol.
13%
Volker Bajus
$692 Vol.
10%
Thorsten Wassermann
$508 Vol.
4%
Oliver Hasskamp
$410 Vol.
1%
Thomas Groß
$279 Vol.
1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter (CDU), the incumbent Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, leads trader pricing in the Osnabrück mayoral race due to established name recognition, her record on local infrastructure and city finances, and unanimous CDU nomination in June 2026. The September 13 first-round vote, with a potential September 27 runoff, features a fragmented field including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann, FDP’s Oliver Hasskamp, and Die Linke’s Thomas Groß. No single challenger has consolidated broad support, limiting shifts in probabilities despite the close election timeline and standard direct-election rules requiring a majority. Trader consensus reflects Pötter’s structural edge in this low-information local contest.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$56,330End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter (CDU), the incumbent Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, leads trader pricing in the Osnabrück mayoral race due to established name recognition, her record on local infrastructure and city finances, and unanimous CDU nomination in June 2026. The September 13 first-round vote, with a potential September 27 runoff, features a fragmented field including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann, FDP’s Oliver Hasskamp, and Die Linke’s Thomas Groß. No single challenger has consolidated broad support, limiting shifts in probabilities despite the close election timeline and standard direct-election rules requiring a majority. Trader consensus reflects Pötter’s structural edge in this low-information local contest.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$56,330End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter (CDU), the incumbent Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, leads trader pricing in the Osnabrück mayoral race due to established name recognition, her record on local infrastructure and city finances, and unanimous CDU nomination in June 2026. The September 13 first-round vote, with a potential September 27 runoff, features a fragmented field including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann, FDP’s Oliver Hasskamp, and Die Linke’s Thomas Groß. No single challenger has consolidated broad support, limiting shifts in probabilities despite the close election timeline and standard direct-election rules requiring a majority. Trader consensus reflects Pötter’s structural edge in this low-information local contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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