**Exceptionally dry conditions have driven strong trader consensus toward the lowest precipitation bins for London in August 2026.** Official monitoring data show only about 8 mm accumulated through late August, roughly 15% of the 52 mm climatological normal, with most days recording zero measurable rainfall and only isolated light amounts (under 3 mm) on a handful of dates. Above-average temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns have suppressed convective activity and Atlantic fronts typical for the season. With the month nearly complete, even additional showers on the final days are unlikely to push totals near or above 30 mm, aligning with the leading market-implied probabilities for the driest outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in London in August?
Precipitation in London in August?
<30mm 78%
80mm+ 34%
30-40mm 17.2%
50-60mm 2.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<30mm
73%
30-40mm
17%
40-50mm
1%
50-60mm
2%
60-70mm
<1%
70-80mm
1%
80mm+
22%
<30mm 78%
80mm+ 34%
30-40mm 17.2%
50-60mm 2.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<30mm
$997 Vol.
73%
30-40mm
$390 Vol.
17%
40-50mm
$234 Vol.
1%
50-60mm
$292 Vol.
2%
60-70mm
$6,262 Vol.
<1%
70-80mm
$252 Vol.
1%
80mm+
$395 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Exceptionally dry conditions have driven strong trader consensus toward the lowest precipitation bins for London in August 2026.** Official monitoring data show only about 8 mm accumulated through late August, roughly 15% of the 52 mm climatological normal, with most days recording zero measurable rainfall and only isolated light amounts (under 3 mm) on a handful of dates. Above-average temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns have suppressed convective activity and Atlantic fronts typical for the season. With the month nearly complete, even additional showers on the final days are unlikely to push totals near or above 30 mm, aligning with the leading market-implied probabilities for the driest outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ET
Volume
$8,821End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Exceptionally dry conditions have driven strong trader consensus toward the lowest precipitation bins for London in August 2026.** Official monitoring data show only about 8 mm accumulated through late August, roughly 15% of the 52 mm climatological normal, with most days recording zero measurable rainfall and only isolated light amounts (under 3 mm) on a handful of dates. Above-average temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns have suppressed convective activity and Atlantic fronts typical for the season. With the month nearly complete, even additional showers on the final days are unlikely to push totals near or above 30 mm, aligning with the leading market-implied probabilities for the driest outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,821End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Exceptionally dry conditions have driven strong trader consensus toward the lowest precipitation bins for London in August 2026.** Official monitoring data show only about 8 mm accumulated through late August, roughly 15% of the 52 mm climatological normal, with most days recording zero measurable rainfall and only isolated light amounts (under 3 mm) on a handful of dates. Above-average temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns have suppressed convective activity and Atlantic fronts typical for the season. With the month nearly complete, even additional showers on the final days are unlikely to push totals near or above 30 mm, aligning with the leading market-implied probabilities for the driest outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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