KPRF holds the strongest position among systemic opposition parties for second place on Moscow’s party-list ballot, reflecting its consistent national polling edge over LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, along with early candidate-list finalization and regional organizational strength ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. Recent disqualifications, including Yabloko’s removal from the party-list contest, have further narrowed the field of alternatives. Traders price in United Russia’s expected first-place finish while viewing KPRF’s established voter base and campaign activity as the main factors sustaining its lead in the tight multi-party race for the runner-up spot. Limited recent polling shifts or new endorsements have kept probabilities clustered among the remaining registered parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCommunist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 60%
New People (NL) 16%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 16%
Yabloko 5%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
60%

New People (NL)
16%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
16%

Yabloko
5%

United Russia (ER)
5%

Rodina
5%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
5%

A Just Russia (SR)
14%

Civic Platform (GP)
12%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
18%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 60%
New People (NL) 16%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 16%
Yabloko 5%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
60%

New People (NL)
16%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
16%

Yabloko
5%

United Russia (ER)
5%

Rodina
5%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
5%

A Just Russia (SR)
14%

Civic Platform (GP)
12%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
18%
This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...KPRF holds the strongest position among systemic opposition parties for second place on Moscow’s party-list ballot, reflecting its consistent national polling edge over LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People, along with early candidate-list finalization and regional organizational strength ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. Recent disqualifications, including Yabloko’s removal from the party-list contest, have further narrowed the field of alternatives. Traders price in United Russia’s expected first-place finish while viewing KPRF’s established voter base and campaign activity as the main factors sustaining its lead in the tight multi-party race for the runner-up spot. Limited recent polling shifts or new endorsements have kept probabilities clustered among the remaining registered parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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