Recent polling from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap places the CDU at 22-23 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, with the AfD leading at 40-42 percent. This positioning stems from the CDU's sharp decline since its 37 percent result in 2021 under the current Germany coalition with the SPD and FDP, alongside sustained AfD strength in eastern Germany and limited movement among undecided voters near 30 percent. Minister-President Sven Schulze's personal lead in head-to-head preference testing provides some buffer, yet broader party support remains pressured by campaign dynamics and the absence of viable coalition partners for either major bloc. The close contest between the 20-23 percent and 23-26 percent ranges in trader pricing reflects these stable but fluid late-campaign factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated20-23% 37%
23-26% 35%
<20% 18%
26%+ 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<20%
18%
20-23%
37%
23-26%
35%
26%+
13%
20-23% 37%
23-26% 35%
<20% 18%
26%+ 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<20%
$2,265 Vol.
18%
20-23%
$500 Vol.
37%
23-26%
$1,226 Vol.
35%
26%+
$1,363 Vol.
13%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap places the CDU at 22-23 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, with the AfD leading at 40-42 percent. This positioning stems from the CDU's sharp decline since its 37 percent result in 2021 under the current Germany coalition with the SPD and FDP, alongside sustained AfD strength in eastern Germany and limited movement among undecided voters near 30 percent. Minister-President Sven Schulze's personal lead in head-to-head preference testing provides some buffer, yet broader party support remains pressured by campaign dynamics and the absence of viable coalition partners for either major bloc. The close contest between the 20-23 percent and 23-26 percent ranges in trader pricing reflects these stable but fluid late-campaign factors.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Volume
$5,354End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap places the CDU at 22-23 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, with the AfD leading at 40-42 percent. This positioning stems from the CDU's sharp decline since its 37 percent result in 2021 under the current Germany coalition with the SPD and FDP, alongside sustained AfD strength in eastern Germany and limited movement among undecided voters near 30 percent. Minister-President Sven Schulze's personal lead in head-to-head preference testing provides some buffer, yet broader party support remains pressured by campaign dynamics and the absence of viable coalition partners for either major bloc. The close contest between the 20-23 percent and 23-26 percent ranges in trader pricing reflects these stable but fluid late-campaign factors.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$5,354End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap places the CDU at 22-23 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, with the AfD leading at 40-42 percent. This positioning stems from the CDU's sharp decline since its 37 percent result in 2021 under the current Germany coalition with the SPD and FDP, alongside sustained AfD strength in eastern Germany and limited movement among undecided voters near 30 percent. Minister-President Sven Schulze's personal lead in head-to-head preference testing provides some buffer, yet broader party support remains pressured by campaign dynamics and the absence of viable coalition partners for either major bloc. The close contest between the 20-23 percent and 23-26 percent ranges in trader pricing reflects these stable but fluid late-campaign factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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