Recent Swedish polling averages place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support at approximately 6.2%, with the latest Indikator Opinion survey (fielded August 6–23) showing 5.8%, Novus at 6.3%, and Verian at 6.2%. These figures align closely with KD’s 5.3% result in the 2022 election and reflect steady positioning within the Tidö governing bloc (Moderates, KD, Liberals, backed by Sweden Democrats) ahead of the September 13 vote. The right-leaning bloc has narrowed the opposition’s lead in recent weeks amid campaign emphasis on security, immigration, and the economy, yet KD itself has shown no statistically significant movement. Earlier May surveys had placed the party as low as 4.5%, but mid-summer gains stabilized it near 6%. With fewer than three weeks until the election and no major party-specific catalysts emerging, trader consensus heavily favors the 5–7% band as the most probable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7% 61%
7-9% 21%
<5% 9%
9%+ 3.9%
$14,801 Vol.
$14,801 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
9%
5-7%
61%
7-9%
21%
9%+
4%
5-7% 61%
7-9% 21%
<5% 9%
9%+ 3.9%
$14,801 Vol.
$14,801 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<5%
$1,990 Vol.
9%
5-7%
$10,112 Vol.
61%
7-9%
$1,912 Vol.
21%
9%+
$787 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling averages place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support at approximately 6.2%, with the latest Indikator Opinion survey (fielded August 6–23) showing 5.8%, Novus at 6.3%, and Verian at 6.2%. These figures align closely with KD’s 5.3% result in the 2022 election and reflect steady positioning within the Tidö governing bloc (Moderates, KD, Liberals, backed by Sweden Democrats) ahead of the September 13 vote.
The right-leaning bloc has narrowed the opposition’s lead in recent weeks amid campaign emphasis on security, immigration, and the economy, yet KD itself has shown no statistically significant movement. Earlier May surveys had placed the party as low as 4.5%, but mid-summer gains stabilized it near 6%. With fewer than three weeks until the election and no major party-specific catalysts emerging, trader consensus heavily favors the 5–7% band as the most probable outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$14,801End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling averages place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support at approximately 6.2%, with the latest Indikator Opinion survey (fielded August 6–23) showing 5.8%, Novus at 6.3%, and Verian at 6.2%. These figures align closely with KD’s 5.3% result in the 2022 election and reflect steady positioning within the Tidö governing bloc (Moderates, KD, Liberals, backed by Sweden Democrats) ahead of the September 13 vote.
The right-leaning bloc has narrowed the opposition’s lead in recent weeks amid campaign emphasis on security, immigration, and the economy, yet KD itself has shown no statistically significant movement. Earlier May surveys had placed the party as low as 4.5%, but mid-summer gains stabilized it near 6%. With fewer than three weeks until the election and no major party-specific catalysts emerging, trader consensus heavily favors the 5–7% band as the most probable outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$14,801End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling averages place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support at approximately 6.2%, with the latest Indikator Opinion survey (fielded August 6–23) showing 5.8%, Novus at 6.3%, and Verian at 6.2%. These figures align closely with KD’s 5.3% result in the 2022 election and reflect steady positioning within the Tidö governing bloc (Moderates, KD, Liberals, backed by Sweden Democrats) ahead of the September 13 vote. The right-leaning bloc has narrowed the opposition’s lead in recent weeks amid campaign emphasis on security, immigration, and the economy, yet KD itself has shown no statistically significant movement. Earlier May surveys had placed the party as low as 4.5%, but mid-summer gains stabilized it near 6%. With fewer than three weeks until the election and no major party-specific catalysts emerging, trader consensus heavily favors the 5–7% band as the most probable outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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