**In the final weeks before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, recent opinion polls place the Centre Party (C) and Green Party (MP) in a tight contest for vote share, with averages showing both hovering between roughly 6% and 8%.** A late August Indikator Opinion survey gave MP a narrow edge at 6.5% to C’s 5.9%, while a Verian poll showed C ahead at 8.0% versus MP’s 7.7%; broader aggregates reflect similar closeness within margins of error. This balance stems from overlapping voter bases on climate and rural issues, modest recent fluctuations (C showing volatility tied to bloc positioning talks, MP holding steadier), and the parties’ comparable historical results near the 4% threshold. The overall opposition bloc’s narrowing lead against the Tidö government has kept smaller parties’ relative performance sensitive to turnout and late campaign focus on energy, security, and environmental policy. Scheduled debates and any shifts in voter priorities on climate cooperation or centre-left government alternatives could still alter the final ordering.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C?
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C?
MP
47% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
MP
47% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**In the final weeks before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, recent opinion polls place the Centre Party (C) and Green Party (MP) in a tight contest for vote share, with averages showing both hovering between roughly 6% and 8%.** A late August Indikator Opinion survey gave MP a narrow edge at 6.5% to C’s 5.9%, while a Verian poll showed C ahead at 8.0% versus MP’s 7.7%; broader aggregates reflect similar closeness within margins of error. This balance stems from overlapping voter bases on climate and rural issues, modest recent fluctuations (C showing volatility tied to bloc positioning talks, MP holding steadier), and the parties’ comparable historical results near the 4% threshold. The overall opposition bloc’s narrowing lead against the Tidö government has kept smaller parties’ relative performance sensitive to turnout and late campaign focus on energy, security, and environmental policy. Scheduled debates and any shifts in voter priorities on climate cooperation or centre-left government alternatives could still alter the final ordering.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET
Volume
$201End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**In the final weeks before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, recent opinion polls place the Centre Party (C) and Green Party (MP) in a tight contest for vote share, with averages showing both hovering between roughly 6% and 8%.** A late August Indikator Opinion survey gave MP a narrow edge at 6.5% to C’s 5.9%, while a Verian poll showed C ahead at 8.0% versus MP’s 7.7%; broader aggregates reflect similar closeness within margins of error. This balance stems from overlapping voter bases on climate and rural issues, modest recent fluctuations (C showing volatility tied to bloc positioning talks, MP holding steadier), and the parties’ comparable historical results near the 4% threshold. The overall opposition bloc’s narrowing lead against the Tidö government has kept smaller parties’ relative performance sensitive to turnout and late campaign focus on energy, security, and environmental policy. Scheduled debates and any shifts in voter priorities on climate cooperation or centre-left government alternatives could still alter the final ordering.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$201End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**In the final weeks before Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, recent opinion polls place the Centre Party (C) and Green Party (MP) in a tight contest for vote share, with averages showing both hovering between roughly 6% and 8%.** A late August Indikator Opinion survey gave MP a narrow edge at 6.5% to C’s 5.9%, while a Verian poll showed C ahead at 8.0% versus MP’s 7.7%; broader aggregates reflect similar closeness within margins of error. This balance stems from overlapping voter bases on climate and rural issues, modest recent fluctuations (C showing volatility tied to bloc positioning talks, MP holding steadier), and the parties’ comparable historical results near the 4% threshold. The overall opposition bloc’s narrowing lead against the Tidö government has kept smaller parties’ relative performance sensitive to turnout and late campaign focus on energy, security, and environmental policy. Scheduled debates and any shifts in voter priorities on climate cooperation or centre-left government alternatives could still alter the final ordering.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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