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Politics·Taiwan

Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chang Chia-chun

Chang Chia-chun

$936 Vol.

84%

icon for Liu Chien-kuo

Liu Chien-kuo

$418 Vol.

7%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT nominee Chang Chia-chun holds an 84% implied probability in the Yunlin County Magistrate race ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections, while DPP nominee Liu Chien-kuo sits at 7%. Traders price this outcome based on the continuity of KMT governance under term-limited incumbent Chang Li-shan, whose high approval ratings include five-star recognition in recent satisfaction surveys, combined with the Chang family's entrenched local networks. Chang, nominated in February 2026, benefits from party backing and platform continuity on agriculture, industry, and education. Liu, nominated by the DPP in late 2025, brings legislative experience and focuses on healthcare expansion but faces structural headwinds in a county with historical KMT strength. A March 2026 poll showed Chang leading 49.5% to 39%, consistent with current market positioning. No major developments since registration opened in late August have altered the consensus.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,354
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).KMT nominee Chang Chia-chun holds an 84% implied probability in the Yunlin County Magistrate race ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections, while DPP nominee Liu Chien-kuo sits at 7%. Traders price this outcome based on the continuity of KMT governance under term-limited incumbent Chang Li-shan, whose high approval ratings include five-star recognition in recent satisfaction surveys, combined with the Chang family's entrenched local networks. Chang, nominated in February 2026, benefits from party backing and platform continuity on agriculture, industry, and education. Liu, nominated by the DPP in late 2025, brings legislative experience and focuses on healthcare expansion but faces structural headwinds in a county with historical KMT strength. A March 2026 poll showed Chang leading 49.5% to 39%, consistent with current market positioning. No major developments since registration opened in late August have altered the consensus.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,354
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chang Chia-chun" at 84%, followed by "Liu Chien-kuo" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chang Chia-chun" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Liu Chien-kuo" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.