Argentina’s August 2026 CPI rose 1.7% month-over-month, the lowest reading in 14 months and below July’s 2.1% print, extending the disinflation trend driven by the Milei administration’s fiscal balance, subsidy cuts, and managed peso float. This outcome, alongside core inflation at 1.8% and year-to-date accumulation of 21.3%, has anchored trader expectations for September near 1.7–2.1%. The near-even split between the 1.9–2.1% (47.0%) and 1.6–1.8% (43.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over regulated-price adjustments, seasonal food volatility, and the sustainability of the peso anchor ahead of the mid-October INDEC release. Market-implied odds treat these levels as the most probable range given recent data momentum and policy continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - September
Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
1.9 to 2.1% 44%
1.6 to 1.8% 44%
2.2 to 2.4% 5.5%
1.3 to 1.5% 3.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 13, 2026
≤0.9%
<1%
1.0 to 1.2%
8%
1.3 to 1.5%
4%
1.6 to 1.8%
44%
1.9 to 2.1%
47%
2.2 to 2.4%
6%
2.5 to 2.7%
<1%
2.8%+
<1%
1.9 to 2.1% 44%
1.6 to 1.8% 44%
2.2 to 2.4% 5.5%
1.3 to 1.5% 3.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 13, 2026
≤0.9%
$243 Vol.
<1%
1.0 to 1.2%
$235 Vol.
8%
1.3 to 1.5%
$218 Vol.
4%
1.6 to 1.8%
$230 Vol.
44%
1.9 to 2.1%
$1,173 Vol.
47%
2.2 to 2.4%
$298 Vol.
6%
2.5 to 2.7%
$236 Vol.
<1%
2.8%+
$250 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Argentina’s August 2026 CPI rose 1.7% month-over-month, the lowest reading in 14 months and below July’s 2.1% print, extending the disinflation trend driven by the Milei administration’s fiscal balance, subsidy cuts, and managed peso float. This outcome, alongside core inflation at 1.8% and year-to-date accumulation of 21.3%, has anchored trader expectations for September near 1.7–2.1%. The near-even split between the 1.9–2.1% (47.0%) and 1.6–1.8% (43.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over regulated-price adjustments, seasonal food volatility, and the sustainability of the peso anchor ahead of the mid-October INDEC release. Market-implied odds treat these levels as the most probable range given recent data momentum and policy continuity.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,884End Date
Oct 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Argentina’s August 2026 CPI rose 1.7% month-over-month, the lowest reading in 14 months and below July’s 2.1% print, extending the disinflation trend driven by the Milei administration’s fiscal balance, subsidy cuts, and managed peso float. This outcome, alongside core inflation at 1.8% and year-to-date accumulation of 21.3%, has anchored trader expectations for September near 1.7–2.1%. The near-even split between the 1.9–2.1% (47.0%) and 1.6–1.8% (43.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over regulated-price adjustments, seasonal food volatility, and the sustainability of the peso anchor ahead of the mid-October INDEC release. Market-implied odds treat these levels as the most probable range given recent data momentum and policy continuity.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Volume
$2,884End Date
Oct 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina’s August 2026 CPI rose 1.7% month-over-month, the lowest reading in 14 months and below July’s 2.1% print, extending the disinflation trend driven by the Milei administration’s fiscal balance, subsidy cuts, and managed peso float. This outcome, alongside core inflation at 1.8% and year-to-date accumulation of 21.3%, has anchored trader expectations for September near 1.7–2.1%. The near-even split between the 1.9–2.1% (47.0%) and 1.6–1.8% (43.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over regulated-price adjustments, seasonal food volatility, and the sustainability of the peso anchor ahead of the mid-October INDEC release. Market-implied odds treat these levels as the most probable range given recent data momentum and policy continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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