Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot-dog-and-soda combo remains a protected cultural ritual, with current trader consensus assigning a 93% implied probability that the sticker price holds through year-end. CEO Ron Vachris has reinforced the long-standing brand promise in multiple 2026 statements, echoing founder Jim Sinegal’s legendary directive and prior leadership vows to absorb costs rather than alter the loss-leader staple. The April 2026 menu refresh—the first tweak in four decades—added a Kirkland bottled-water option while preserving the exact $1.50 price point, underscoring operational discipline amid broader food inflation. With leadership continuity and limited runway before the December 31, 2026 resolution, an increase would require an abrupt shock such as an unexpected executive departure or extreme protein-cost spike; absent those catalysts, the market reflects entrenched commitment to this fan-favorite retail tradition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7% chance
$10,576 Vol.
$10,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$10,576 Vol.
$10,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot-dog-and-soda combo remains a protected cultural ritual, with current trader consensus assigning a 93% implied probability that the sticker price holds through year-end. CEO Ron Vachris has reinforced the long-standing brand promise in multiple 2026 statements, echoing founder Jim Sinegal’s legendary directive and prior leadership vows to absorb costs rather than alter the loss-leader staple. The April 2026 menu refresh—the first tweak in four decades—added a Kirkland bottled-water option while preserving the exact $1.50 price point, underscoring operational discipline amid broader food inflation. With leadership continuity and limited runway before the December 31, 2026 resolution, an increase would require an abrupt shock such as an unexpected executive departure or extreme protein-cost spike; absent those catalysts, the market reflects entrenched commitment to this fan-favorite retail tradition.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
Volume
$10,576End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot-dog-and-soda combo remains a protected cultural ritual, with current trader consensus assigning a 93% implied probability that the sticker price holds through year-end. CEO Ron Vachris has reinforced the long-standing brand promise in multiple 2026 statements, echoing founder Jim Sinegal’s legendary directive and prior leadership vows to absorb costs rather than alter the loss-leader staple. The April 2026 menu refresh—the first tweak in four decades—added a Kirkland bottled-water option while preserving the exact $1.50 price point, underscoring operational discipline amid broader food inflation. With leadership continuity and limited runway before the December 31, 2026 resolution, an increase would require an abrupt shock such as an unexpected executive departure or extreme protein-cost spike; absent those catalysts, the market reflects entrenched commitment to this fan-favorite retail tradition.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,576End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco’s iconic $1.50 hot-dog-and-soda combo remains a protected cultural ritual, with current trader consensus assigning a 93% implied probability that the sticker price holds through year-end. CEO Ron Vachris has reinforced the long-standing brand promise in multiple 2026 statements, echoing founder Jim Sinegal’s legendary directive and prior leadership vows to absorb costs rather than alter the loss-leader staple. The April 2026 menu refresh—the first tweak in four decades—added a Kirkland bottled-water option while preserving the exact $1.50 price point, underscoring operational discipline amid broader food inflation. With leadership continuity and limited runway before the December 31, 2026 resolution, an increase would require an abrupt shock such as an unexpected executive departure or extreme protein-cost spike; absent those catalysts, the market reflects entrenched commitment to this fan-favorite retail tradition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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