Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C daily maximum in Amsterdam today due to consistent forecast guidance from GFS and European models showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching exactly that threshold amid partly cloudy conditions, light southeasterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. Official observations through midday confirmed readings climbing to 26°C with limited further warming expected before evening showers develop. This alignment with historical late-August baselines and minimal model spread underpins the near-certain market outcome. Only a last-hour measurement revision at the primary station or unexpected localized heating could shift the final recorded high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$62,363 Vol.
$62,363 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$62,363 Vol.
$62,363 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$743 Vol.
No
23°C
$677 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,263 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,159 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,635 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,438 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$9,815 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,436 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,492 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,177 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$2,526 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C daily maximum in Amsterdam today due to consistent forecast guidance from GFS and European models showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching exactly that threshold amid partly cloudy conditions, light southeasterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. Official observations through midday confirmed readings climbing to 26°C with limited further warming expected before evening showers develop. This alignment with historical late-August baselines and minimal model spread underpins the near-certain market outcome. Only a last-hour measurement revision at the primary station or unexpected localized heating could shift the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$62,363End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C daily maximum in Amsterdam today due to consistent forecast guidance from GFS and European models showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching exactly that threshold amid partly cloudy conditions, light southeasterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. Official observations through midday confirmed readings climbing to 26°C with limited further warming expected before evening showers develop. This alignment with historical late-August baselines and minimal model spread underpins the near-certain market outcome. Only a last-hour measurement revision at the primary station or unexpected localized heating could shift the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,363End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C daily maximum in Amsterdam today due to consistent forecast guidance from GFS and European models showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching exactly that threshold amid partly cloudy conditions, light southeasterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. Official observations through midday confirmed readings climbing to 26°C with limited further warming expected before evening showers develop. This alignment with historical late-August baselines and minimal model spread underpins the near-certain market outcome. Only a last-hour measurement revision at the primary station or unexpected localized heating could shift the final recorded high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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