Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 28?
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$29,830 Vol.
$29,830 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$29,830 Vol.
$29,830 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
$266 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$266 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$164 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,234 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,621 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$3,357 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$5,316 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$7,394 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$5,807 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$2,805 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$600 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$29,830End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,830End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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