Recent forecasts from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a highest temperature near 24–26°C in Mexico City on August 31 amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers expected to limit daytime heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Persistent late-summer moisture and convective activity, typical of the region’s rainy season, are capping insolation and keeping surface temperatures close to or slightly below seasonal norms around 24–25°C. Model runs show modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability on 23–25°C outcomes while leaving room for modest upward or downward shifts with the next official updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 31?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 31?
24°C 43%
23°C 28%
25°C 20%
26°C or higher 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
9%
20°C
4%
21°C
13%
22°C
11%
23°C
28%
24°C
43%
25°C
20%
26°C or higher
19%
24°C 43%
23°C 28%
25°C 20%
26°C or higher 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$3 Vol.
11%
23°C
$6 Vol.
28%
24°C
$23 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a highest temperature near 24–26°C in Mexico City on August 31 amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers expected to limit daytime heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Persistent late-summer moisture and convective activity, typical of the region’s rainy season, are capping insolation and keeping surface temperatures close to or slightly below seasonal norms around 24–25°C. Model runs show modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability on 23–25°C outcomes while leaving room for modest upward or downward shifts with the next official updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$32End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a highest temperature near 24–26°C in Mexico City on August 31 amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers expected to limit daytime heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Persistent late-summer moisture and convective activity, typical of the region’s rainy season, are capping insolation and keeping surface temperatures close to or slightly below seasonal norms around 24–25°C. Model runs show modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability on 23–25°C outcomes while leaving room for modest upward or downward shifts with the next official updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a highest temperature near 24–26°C in Mexico City on August 31 amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and showers expected to limit daytime heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Persistent late-summer moisture and convective activity, typical of the region’s rainy season, are capping insolation and keeping surface temperatures close to or slightly below seasonal norms around 24–25°C. Model runs show modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, supporting the market’s clustering of implied probability on 23–25°C outcomes while leaving room for modest upward or downward shifts with the next official updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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