NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for August 30, 2026, point to scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the eastern and southern United States, with 60-80% precipitation probabilities in the Southeast, Florida, and parts of the Midwest driven by typical late-summer moisture, daytime heating, and weak frontal boundaries. Western and northern Plains regions show lower chances under drier, more stable high-pressure influences. These patterns align with climatological norms for convective activity in humid air masses during peak monsoon and tropical moisture transport seasons. Model consensus from the Weather Prediction Center indicates variable QPF amounts, with highest totals likely in afternoon thunderstorm clusters; fresh runs and local updates tomorrow morning could refine timing and intensity before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on August 30?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
14%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$1 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
14%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for August 30, 2026, point to scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the eastern and southern United States, with 60-80% precipitation probabilities in the Southeast, Florida, and parts of the Midwest driven by typical late-summer moisture, daytime heating, and weak frontal boundaries. Western and northern Plains regions show lower chances under drier, more stable high-pressure influences. These patterns align with climatological norms for convective activity in humid air masses during peak monsoon and tropical moisture transport seasons. Model consensus from the Weather Prediction Center indicates variable QPF amounts, with highest totals likely in afternoon thunderstorm clusters; fresh runs and local updates tomorrow morning could refine timing and intensity before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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